arXiv AI

Improving Randomized Metric Distortion to 2.3282

arXiv AI
Sep 10

Improving Randomized Metric Distortion to 2.1441

The paper announces an improved upper bound on the distortion of randomized voting rules in metric social choice, reducing it from the previous range of $[2.1126,2.5]$ to $2.1441$. It introduces the concept of random-size stable lotteries, proves their existence, and derives the new bound via a potential argument. The proofs were generated with GPT-5.6-Sol and subsequently verified and simplified by the author.

By Nisarg Shah
arXiv AI
Oct 16

Replicable Dueling Bandits

The paper introduces the first algorithms for replicable dueling bandits, ensuring that two runs with shared internal randomness and independent comparison outcomes select the same ordered pair in every round with high probability. Under relaxed stochastic transitivity, the authors achieve expected regret ×O(γ^8 K^4 H_p/ρ^2), while under strong stochastic transitivity they improve this to ×O(K^2 H_p/ρ^2). For linear dueling bandits, a regret bound of ×O(d^3√T/(c_μρ)) is presented, and experiments confirm both replicability and sublinear regret.

By Rohan Deb, Aadirupa Saha, Udaya Ghai, Karan Singh, Arindam Banerjee
arXiv AI
Oct 2

Query-efficient winner prediction in district-based elections

The paper studies how to predict the winner of a district‑based election using as few queries to individual votes as possible. It introduces an adaptive randomized algorithm that, for any number of candidates and any error tolerance, correctly predicts the overall winner with probability at least 1‑δ using ≥O(1/ε² log m/δ log 1/δ) queries. This improves previous results for two candidates and balanced districts, and nearly matches a proven lower bound for constant‑size candidate sets.

By Koustav De, Debajyoti Kar, Swagato Sanyal
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 17

Breaking the $T^{2/3}$ Barrier for Sequential Calibration

arXiv:2406. 13668v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: A set of probabilistic forecasts is calibrated if each prediction of the forecaster closely approximates the empirical distribution of outcomes on the subset of timesteps where that prediction was made.

By Yuval Dagan, Constantinos Daskalakis, Maxwell Fishelson, Noah Golowich, Robert Kleinberg, Princewill Okoroafor