arXiv Machine Learning

Generalized Conformal Predictive Systems Under Distributional Shifts

arXiv:2606. 11044v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Conformal predictive systems (CPS) output calibrated bands of CDFs under exchangeability.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 3

Set-Preserving Calibration from Conformal P-Values to E-Values

arXiv:2606. 03600v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Standard conformal prediction (CP) procedures are typically formulated in terms of p-values, but reliance on p-values alone limits flexibility, for example, when combining dependent evidence across models or data splits.

By Nabil Alami, Jad Zakharia, Souhaib Ben Taieb
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 21

Isotonic Conformal Prediction

arXiv:2607. 16675v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A point prediction that is well calibrated on average can still be systematically biased conditional on its own value, undermining its use in downstream decision-making.

By Daniel Bensimon, Sean Xiang Yu, Eric D. Kolaczyk, Archer Y. Yang