arXiv:2609.17238v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: High-dimensional data create challenges for causal effect estimation because identifying the covariates needed for correct model specification become...
By Muwon Kwon, Peter M. Steiner
arXiv:2503. 20546v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We consider the problem of estimating the expected causal effect $E[Y|do(X)]$ for a target variable $Y$ when treatment $X$ is set by intervention, focusing on continuous random variables.
By Marlies Hafer, Alexander Marx
arXiv:2411.05625v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: We propose a new approach to falsify causal discovery algorithms without ground truth, which is based on testing the causal model on a variable pai...
By Daniela Schkoda, Philipp Faller, Patrick Bl\"obaum, Dominik Janzing
arXiv:2602. 22083v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Causal identification functionals often require integration over conditional densities of continuous variables, such as those arising in nonparametric identification theory of total and mediated causal effects in DAGs with hidden variables.
By Xiaxian Ou, Razieh Nabi
CausalProfiler is a synthetic benchmark generator designed to evaluate causal machine learning (Causal ML) methods more rigorously and transparently. It randomly samples causal models, data, queries, and ground truths based on explicit design choices across observation, intervention, and counterfactual reasoning levels, providing coverage guarantees and transparent assumptions. The authors demonstrate its utility by testing several state‑of‑the‑art methods under diverse conditions, both within and outside the identification regime, highlighting the insights CausalProfiler can reveal.
By Panayiotis Panayiotou, Audrey Poinsot, Alessandro Leite, Nicolas Chesneau, Marc Schoenauer, \"Ozg\"ur \c{S}im\c{s}ek
arXiv:2603. 02159v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Instrumental variable (IV) and proximal causal learning (Proxy) methods are central frameworks for causal inference in the presence of unobserved confounding.
By Yuqi Zhang, Krikamol Muandet, Dino Sejdinovic, Edwin Fong, Siu Lun Chau
arXiv:2105. 09254v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: In many applications, researchers are interested in the direct and indirect causal effects of a treatment or exposure on an outcome of interest.
By Yizhen Xu, AmirEmad Ghassami, Numair Sani, Ilya Shpitser
arXiv:2608. 13461v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Post-click conversion rate (CVR) is a key metric in various scenarios including e-commerce and advertising, reflecting the efficiency and user experience in the second stage of the conversion process.
By Jiayi Dan, Bo Li, Lu Deng, Yong Wang
arXiv:2608. 05244v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We developed a unified covariate-adjusted causal inference framework for estimating the desirability of outcome ranking (DOOR) probability for benefit-risk evaluation in randomized trials and observational studies.
By Yuan Feng, Shiyu Shu, Yixin Fang, Ionut Bebu, Toshimitsu Hamasaki, Scott Evans, Guoqing Diao
arXiv:2606. 13884v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Modern decision systems increasingly rely on learned components whose outputs may be confident yet wrong, exposing downstream actions to costly errors.
By Laxmipriya Ganesh Iyer, Rahul Suresh Babu
arXiv:2606. 21185v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: There is a precise sense in which drawing causal inferences from observational data is hard, even when identifiability is assumed.
By Alexis Bellot
arXiv:2604. 23904v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Synthetic tabular data are often evaluated by distributional similarity, privacy distance, or train-on-synthetic-test-on-real predictive performance, but these criteria do not ensure validity for causal inference.
By Yichen Xu