arXiv:2607. 10540v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We propose a two-stage estimator for structural mediation parameters that combines deep representation learning with G-estimation under the "no essential heterogeneity" (NEH) assumption.
By Roberto Faleh, Sofia Morelli, Holger Brandt
arXiv:2605. 01765v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Mediation analysis has traditionally focused on outcome-level summary contrasts, such as mean effects, which may obscure substantial distributional changes induced by complex and nonlinear causal mechanisms.
By Jinlun Zhang, Haoneng Huang, Zishu Zhan, Chunquan Ou
arXiv:2602. 22083v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Causal identification functionals often require integration over conditional densities of continuous variables, such as those arising in nonparametric identification theory of total and mediated causal effects in DAGs with hidden variables.
By Xiaxian Ou, Razieh Nabi
arXiv:2606. 21185v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: There is a precise sense in which drawing causal inferences from observational data is hard, even when identifiability is assumed.
By Alexis Bellot
arXiv:2607. 14940v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study causal inference under outcome interference for sequential, observational settings.
By Phevos Paschalidis, Constantinos Daskalakis, Devavrat Shah
arXiv:2511. 05050v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: In this study, a scalable online kernel learning framework is proposed for estimating bidirectional causal effects in systems characterized by mutual dependence and heteroskedasticity.
By Masahiro Tanaka
arXiv:2410. 14483v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Reliable uncertainty quantification for causal effects is crucial in high-stakes applications, but remains challenging when the target is an entire function rather than a scalar estimand.
By Hugh Dance, Peter Orbanz, Arthur Gretton
arXiv:2604. 23904v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Synthetic tabular data are often evaluated by distributional similarity, privacy distance, or train-on-synthetic-test-on-real predictive performance, but these criteria do not ensure validity for causal inference.
By Yichen Xu
arXiv:2605. 13430v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Selection bias is pervasive in observational studies.
By Yiwen Qiu, Filip Kova\v{c}evi\'c, Shimeng Huang, Peter Spirtes, Francesco Locatello
arXiv:2608. 13461v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Post-click conversion rate (CVR) is a key metric in various scenarios including e-commerce and advertising, reflecting the efficiency and user experience in the second stage of the conversion process.
By Jiayi Dan, Bo Li, Lu Deng, Yong Wang
arXiv:2606. 30648v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal mediation analysis decomposes a treatment effect into indirect pathways through mediators and direct pathways not operating through them.
By Shi Bo, Debarghya Mukherjee, AmirEmad Ghassami
arXiv:2606. 01457v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Bayesian optimization is a popular way to optimize expensive systems, where every experiment, simulation, or intervention costs time or money.
By Mohammad Ali Javidian