arXiv:2608. 04201v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Nonlinear state estimation requires sequentially fusing model-based predictions with noisy measurements.
By Minhyeok Ko, Abdollah Shafieezadeh
arXiv:2412. 18980v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Uncertainty-aware deep learning (DL) models recently gained attention in fault diagnosis as a way to promote the reliable detection of faults when out-of-distribution (OOD) data arise from unseen faults (epistemic uncertainty) or the presence of noise (aleatoric uncertainty).
By Reza Jalayer, Masoud Jalayer, Andrea Mor, Carlotta Orsenigo, Carlo Vercellis
arXiv:2608. 04201v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: State estimation for nonlinear dynamical systems is commonly performed with the Unscented Kalman filter (UKF), which propagates the state moments through deterministic sigma points and reports a posterior covariance at every step.
By Minhyeok Ko, Abdollah Shafieezadeh
arXiv:2505. 02743v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Real-world data contains aleatoric uncertainty - irreducible noise arising from imperfect measurements or from incomplete knowledge about the data generation process.
By Jiaxiang Yi, Miguel A. Bessa
arXiv:2604. 25416v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Model-based reinforcement learning distinguishes between dynamics models operating on proprioceptive states and latent dynamics models typically operating on high-dimensional image observations.
By Julia Berger, Bernd Frauenknecht, Sebastian Trimpe, Bastian Leibe
arXiv:2606. 17413v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Space-based monitoring of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) is essential for constraining the global carbon budget.
By Alejandro Calle-Saldarriaga, Felix Jimenez, Jack Grosskreuz, Jiazheng Wang, Jonathan Hobbs, Matthias Katzfuss
arXiv:2607. 21080v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Long-horizon weather forecasting is a fundamental challenge in atmospheric science, for which autoregressive Deep Learning Weather Prediction (DLWP) has emerged as the primary paradigm.
By Yun-Ye Cai, Hsuan-Tien Lin
Engineering use of AI forecasting models requires not only high nominal accuracy but also predictable behavior under uncertain inputs. In photovoltaic (PV) forecasting, this requirement is especially challenging because numerical weather prediction (NWP) errors are temporally correlated, state dependent, and physically coupled across variables.
arXiv:2602. 11219v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Predictive uncertainty is commonly decomposed into epistemic and aleatoric components, but standard decompositions often produce strongly correlated estimates because both quantities are derived from the same predictive distribution.
By Tanmoy Mukherjee, Marius Kloft, Pierre Marquis, Zied Bouraoui
arXiv:2607. 12954v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Engineering use of AI forecasting models requires not only high nominal accuracy but also predictable behavior under uncertain inputs.
By Dandan Chen, Yan Zhao, Xuepeng Chen
arXiv:2605. 27527v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Astrophysical observations from Earth are subject to weather, environmental, and scientific constraints that lead to sparse, irregular light curves.
By Siddharth Chaini, Federica B. Bianco, Ashish Mahabal
arXiv:2608. 10398v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Variational autoencoders generate samples from probabilistic latent representations but do not distinguish uncertainty about the latent location from variability around it.
By Ge Wang