arXiv:2608. 04201v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Nonlinear state estimation requires sequentially fusing model-based predictions with noisy measurements.
By Minhyeok Ko, Abdollah Shafieezadeh
arXiv:2412. 18980v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Uncertainty-aware deep learning (DL) models recently gained attention in fault diagnosis as a way to promote the reliable detection of faults when out-of-distribution (OOD) data arise from unseen faults (epistemic uncertainty) or the presence of noise (aleatoric uncertainty).
By Reza Jalayer, Masoud Jalayer, Andrea Mor, Carlotta Orsenigo, Carlo Vercellis
arXiv:2609.13777v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Learned components are increasingly integrated into geometric visual--inertial estimators to provide motion, depth, bias, uncertainty, or confidence...
By Jinchang Zhang, Guoyu Lu
arXiv:2608. 04201v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: State estimation for nonlinear dynamical systems is commonly performed with the Unscented Kalman filter (UKF), which propagates the state moments through deterministic sigma points and reports a posterior covariance at every step.
By Minhyeok Ko, Abdollah Shafieezadeh
The paper presents a probabilistic machine‑learning framework for classifying low‑ and high‑resolution stellar and extragalactic spectra, targeting the upcoming 4MOST survey. Four approaches were evaluated—CNNs, Dirichlet distribution, Monte Carlo dropout (MCD), and Bayesian neural networks with variational inference—using SDSS data and a 4MOST mock dataset. The MCD‑augmented CNN achieved the highest accuracies (92.6% on SDSS, 93.9% on mock data) while also delivering well‑calibrated uncertainty estimates with minimal extra computational cost.
By Simon Barton, Martin Sahl\'en, Andreas Korn, Christian Glaser
arXiv:2608.30899v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Most trajectory forecasting models are trained on clean annotated histories, and are often evaluated under the same idealized assumption, although prac...
By Stephane Da Silva Martins, Victor Petrovic, Emanuel Aldea, Sylvie Le H\'egarat-Mascle
arXiv:2608.30795v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: End-to-end weather forecasting systems produce skillful global gridded and station forecasts directly from raw Earth observations, replacing the nume...
By Rodrigo Almeida, Noelia Otero, Jost Arndt, Simon Baur, Wojciech Samek, Jackie Ma
arXiv:2505. 02743v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Real-world data contains aleatoric uncertainty - irreducible noise arising from imperfect measurements or from incomplete knowledge about the data generation process.
By Jiaxiang Yi, Miguel A. Bessa
arXiv:2609.13514v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Ensuring the reliability of black-box machine learning models in safety-critical space missions remains a significant challenge, particularly when grou...
By Nikki Grens, Lu\'is F. Sim\~oes, Kai Hou Yip, Theresa Lueftinger
arXiv:2604. 25416v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Model-based reinforcement learning distinguishes between dynamics models operating on proprioceptive states and latent dynamics models typically operating on high-dimensional image observations.
By Julia Berger, Bernd Frauenknecht, Sebastian Trimpe, Bastian Leibe
PISCES is a physics‑informed convolutional autoencoder designed to detect solar‑wind transients for space‑weather early warning. Trained on OMNI solar‑wind data without catalog labels, its loss incorporates magnetic field consistency, temperature‑velocity relations, the Parker spiral angle, and temporal smoothness penalties. During inference, PISCES decomposes the anomaly score into magnetic, plasma, physics‑relation, and residual components, enabling alarms that can precede observed sudden commencements and positive sudden impulses.
By Kevin Lee, Alison J. March
arXiv:2606. 17413v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Space-based monitoring of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) is essential for constraining the global carbon budget.
By Alejandro Calle-Saldarriaga, Felix Jimenez, Jack Grosskreuz, Jiazheng Wang, Jonathan Hobbs, Matthias Katzfuss