arXiv Machine Learning

The Optimal Sample Complexity of Learning Autoregressive Chain-of-Thought

arXiv:2607. 07423v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We prove that, in the realizable PAC setting, the sample complexity of exact-trace learning for full autoregressive Chain-of-Thought traces is upper bounded by the standard multiclass rate of the local next-token class, where this rate is governed by the Daniely--Shalev-Shwartz dimension.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 25

Bandit Multiclass PAC Learning: Corrected Lower Bounds, Exact Families, and a Confidence Direct-Sum Phenomenon

The paper revisits realizable multiclass PAC learning with bandit feedback, correcting a previously claimed lower bound on sample complexity. It introduces a new anchored dimension, “aBDS,” and establishes a constant‑free three‑part lower bound, while also providing tighter upper bounds that eliminate dependence on the total label count. The authors demonstrate that the optimal sample complexity can vary dramatically even among classes with identical dimensional profiles, revealing a confidence direct‑sum phenomenon and a rank‑saturation phase transition.

By Guangjian Zhang
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 12

Optimistic Rates for Multiclass PAC Learning

arXiv:2608. 10869v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Worst-case multiclass bounds do not become smaller when the best classifier is already nearly correct: what is missing is an optimistic rate, a guarantee whose fluctuation scales with the oracle risk itself.

By Xiaoyu Li, Andi Han, Jiaojiao Jiang, Junbin Gao
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 10

Stochastic Autoregressive Learning

arXiv:2608. 07224v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Motivated by LLMs, which generate outputs by iteratively sampling from next-token distributions, we introduce a PAC-learning model for binary stochastic autoregressive learning.

By Ilan Doron-Arad, Idan Mehalel, Elchanan Mossel