arXiv Machine Learning

Joules-to-GDP: How Much Economic Value Do AI Systems Produce per Unit of Energy?

The paper introduces metrics for measuring the economic value produced by AI systems per unit of energy, namely Net Value per Joule (NVJ) and Time Saving per Joule (TSJ). It evaluates 220 public GDPval tasks across 44 occupations using five open-weight models and four accelerator types, finding that the highest dollar value per task does not always align with the highest value per joule. The study highlights variations in performance across models and hardware, such as GLM 5.2 achieving the highest net dollar value and Gemma 4 31B delivering a higher NVJ and TSJ with less energy.

arXiv AI
Oct 15

Energy per Successful Goal: Goal-Level Energy Accounting for Agentic AI Systems

The paper introduces A-LEMS, a framework that measures AI energy consumption at the goal level rather than per model invocation, defining Energy per Successful Goal (EpG) as total workflow energy divided by successfully completed goals. It also proposes the Orchestration Overhead Index (OOI) to quantify the extra energy cost of agentic systems compared to linear execution, revealing significant overheads across various hardware platforms and task families. The study demonstrates that traditional per-inference metrics underestimate the true energy cost of completing user goals in agentic AI workflows.

By Deepak Panigrahy, Aakash Tyagi, Stephen Abkin, David Kebo Houngninou, Rabi Mahapatra
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 8

Life Cycle Assessment of Pre-training the Lucie 7B Open-Source Large Language Model on the Jean Zay Supercomputer

arXiv:2607. 05408v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The environmental impact of training large language models (LLMs) is increasingly scrutinised, yet most published estimates focus on operational energy and disclose little about manufacturing (embodied) emissions, water consumption, or the underlying highperformance computing (HPC) infrastructure.

By Marc L\'eobet, Pierre-Fran\c{c}ois Lavall\'ee, Jean-Pierre Lorr\'e
arXiv AI
6d ago

Accounting for Purchased Artificial Intelligence Inference in Corporate Greenhouse Gas Inventories: A Token-Based Method

The paper proposes a token‑based method for including purchased AI inference in corporate Scope 3 greenhouse gas inventories, offering a structured four‑term factor that accounts for serving electricity, embodied hardware, data‑centre construction, and disclosed training runs. It provides an open dataset with cradle‑to‑gate boundaries, four tiers of activity data, and a rule to map model identifiers and regions to specific factors, revealing up to twelve‑fold variation between model classes and nine‑fold variation between regions. Example calculations show annual emissions of 8.5 kg CO₂e for a 200‑person firm and 2.1–8.3 t CO₂e for developers using mid‑class or frontier‑class models, respectively.

By Guillermo Llopis-Garcia (SOMA AI, Barcelona)
arXiv AI
Oct 5

How Do AI Agents Spend Your Money? Analyzing and Predicting Token Consumption in Agentic Coding Tasks

The paper presents a systematic study of token consumption in AI agents performing coding tasks. It finds that agentic tasks are far more expensive—about 1000 times more tokens than code reasoning or chat—primarily due to input tokens, and that token usage varies wildly, with accuracy peaking at moderate costs. Models differ significantly in efficiency, and current frontier models cannot reliably predict their own token usage, often underestimating it.

By Longju Bai, Zhemin Huang, Xingyao Wang, Jiao Sun, Rada Mihalcea, Erik Brynjolfsson, Alex Pentland, Jiaxin Pei
arXiv AI
Sep 4

Artificial Intelligence for Energy Optimization in Data Centers

The paper reviews 194 papers on using artificial intelligence to optimize data center energy use, coding 63 of them. It finds that most control studies validate only in simulation, none consider water withdrawal or embodied carbon, and savings estimates overlap across methods, preventing ranking. The authors propose CLEAR‑DC, a framework that links control and workload demand through elasticity, reports net benefits, and records energy, carbon, water, embodied share, and validation venue.

By Mohammed Basharath Ullah, Summaiya Unnisa Begum, Mohammed Nadeem Ullah
arXiv AI
Jul 9

The Harness Effect: How Orchestration Design Sets the Token Economics of Enterprise Agentic AI

arXiv:2607. 06906v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Agentic AI development today runs on token maxing: buying capability with tokens -- longer reasoning traces, more turns, wider tool payloads, bigger replayed contexts -- so tokens per task grow faster than task value.

By Muayad Sayed Ali, Aliaksandra Novik, Anji Boddupally, Artem Yavorskyi, Chris Nickerson, Daniel Rica, Emily DuGranrut, Felix Leung, Garrett Prince, Grace Barnett, Heath Robinson, Hosain Al Ahmad, Jesse Resnick, Juan Carlos Farah, Jyothi Swaroop Meruga, Leonid Kuznetsov, Luke Gorham, Marie Schmoll, Michael Paciullo, Saumya Das, Sharath Sheripally, Tommy Griscom, Mykyta Osadchyi, Neha Mantri, Nick Westrum, Olivia Benowitz, Parikshith Kulkarni, Radik Chernyshov, Rakshith Vasudev, Rohith Nadimpally, Vikas Gangadevi, Waseem AlShikh
arXiv AI
Jul 10

A Vision Toward Energy-Efficient Domain-Specific Artificial Intelligence Models and Agents

arXiv:2510. 22052v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The field of artificial intelligence (AI) has taken a tight hold on broad aspects of society, industry, business, and governance in ways that dictate the prosperity and might of the world's economies.

By Abhijit Chatterjee, Niraj K. Jha, Jonathan D. Cohen, Thomas L. Griffiths, Hongjing Lu, Diana Marculescu, Ashiqur Rasul, Wenrui Xu, Keshab K. Parhi