arXiv AI

Estimating time spent on work tasks

arXiv:2608. 05172v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The task-based framework in economics models occupations as bundles of tasks.

arXiv AI
Jul 23

Crashing Waves vs. Rising Tides: Findings on AI Automation from Thousands of Worker Evaluations of Labor Market Tasks

arXiv:2604. 01363v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We propose that AI automation is a continuum between: (i) crashing waves where AI capabilities surge abruptly over small sets of tasks, and (ii) rising tides where the increase in AI capabilities is more continuous and broad-based.

By Matthias Mertens, Adam Kuzee, Brittany S. Harris, Harry Lyu, Wensu Li, Jonathan Rosenfeld, Meiri Anto, Martin Fleming, Neil Thompson
arXiv AI
Jun 8

Think Fast: Estimating No-CoT Task-Completion Time Horizons of Frontier AI Models

arXiv:2606. 07157v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Many efforts to ensure frontier AI models are safe rely on monitoring their chain-of-thought (CoT) reasoning.

By Dewi Gould, Francis Rhys Ward, Anders Cairns Woodruff, Rauno Arike, Josh Hills, Alex Serrano, Ida Caspary, Jason Ross Brown, Jo J. Jiao, Patrick Leask, Twm Stone, Ram Potham, Ionut Gabriel Stan, Harry Mayne, Simeon Hellsten, Shubhorup Biswas, Ariana Azarbal, William L. Anderson, Elle Najt, Ryan Greenblatt, Julian Stastny
arXiv AI
Jul 22

Global Automation Atlas

arXiv:2605. 17086v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Automation can displace or complement labour, but this need not be constant across economies.

By Prashant Garg, Tommaso Crosta, Jasmin Baier