arXiv Machine Learning

Energy Yield and Lifetime Climate Classification via Machine Learning for Optimizing Photovoltaic Module Design and Materials

The paper presents a machine‑learning based climate classification tailored for photovoltaic (PV) modules, incorporating both energy yield and module lifetime with climate‑dependent degradation. Using an interpolated dataset of twelve input features, the authors identify annual global horizontal irradiation and ambient temperature as the most influential predictors, achieving RMSEs of 0.007 MWh for yield and 1.5 years for lifetime. The resulting hierarchical clustering yields six primary climate clusters (Tropical, Desert, Continental, Temperate, Boreal, Polar) and 15 subclusters, with the low‑temperature continental climate delivering the highest discounted lifetime energy yield.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 13

Temperature-Driven Sequential Modeling for the Prediction of Annual Power Conversion Efficiency Profiles of Organic Photovoltaic Materials: Douala Case Study

arXiv:2608. 11261v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Organic photovoltaic (OPV) materials are promising candidates for distributed solar energy in tropical regions, yet existing virtual screening tools report static power conversion efficiency (PCE) values at standard testing conditions (STC) that fail to capture the temperature-driven performance degradation experienced under real deployment conditions.

By Steve Cabrel Teguia Kouam, Rockefeller Rockefeller, Raoult Dabou Teukam, Jean-Pierre Tchapet Njafa, Patrick Sorrel Mvoto Kongo, Jean-Pierre Nguenang, Serge Guy Nana Engo
arXiv AI
2d ago

Horizon-specific Expert Fusion for Photovoltaic Power Forecasting

The paper presents a hierarchical ensemble for short‑term photovoltaic power forecasting that fuses temporal neural models, historical analogs, state climatology, and gradient‑boosted trees with horizon‑specific convex weights. Solar geometry and numerical weather forecasts provide expected generation conditions, while a calibration step corrects recent bias using historical forecast errors. Evaluated on PVDAQ and GEFCom2014 data, the ensemble reduces mean absolute error by up to 6% compared to strong individual models, though its advantage varies with dataset and horizon.

By Xu Yuqing, Zhou Liguo, Sun Ze, Yu Lei, Jiang Mingming
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 14

Robustness of Deep Learning Models for PV Power Forecasting under NWP Forecast Errors: A Spatiotemporal and Physically Interpretable Analysis

Engineering use of AI forecasting models requires not only high nominal accuracy but also predictable behavior under uncertain inputs. In photovoltaic (PV) forecasting, this requirement is especially challenging because numerical weather prediction (NWP) errors are temporally correlated, state dependent, and physically coupled across variables.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 10

SolarBench: A global solar energy nowcasting benchmark

SolarBench is an open global benchmark for image-based solar nowcasting that consolidates over six million sky and satellite images from 11 sites across a decade, paired with irradiance, PV output, and atmospheric data. The benchmark includes a toolbox for reproducible data access, processing, model development, and evaluation. Using SolarBench, the authors benchmark representative models, uncover a gap between average forecasting accuracy and the capture of rapid solar fluctuations, quantify predictability across cloud regimes, and demonstrate data‑efficient adaptation to new PV systems.

By Yuhao Nie, Stephen Campbell, Quentin Paletta, Liwenbo Zhang, Tao Jing, Samer Chaaraoui, Jonathan Giezendanner, Andea Scott, Tao Sun, Cong Feng, Max Aragon, Jacques Camier, Adam Jensen, Florian Kotthoff, Yuexing Yang, Yang Ming, Mengying Li, Stefanie Meilinger, Yupeng Wu, Adam Brandt, Sherrie Wang