The paper presents a machine‑learning based climate classification tailored for photovoltaic (PV) modules, incorporating both energy yield and module lifetime with climate‑dependent degradation. Using an interpolated dataset of twelve input features, the authors identify annual global horizontal irradiation and ambient temperature as the most influential predictors, achieving RMSEs of 0.007 MWh for yield and 1.5 years for lifetime. The resulting hierarchical clustering yields six primary climate clusters (Tropical, Desert, Continental, Temperate, Boreal, Polar) and 15 subclusters, with the low‑temperature continental climate delivering the highest discounted lifetime energy yield.
arXiv:2607. 14024v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: With rising global energy demand and growing awareness of climate change and its impacts, the share of renewable energies in the global energy mix continues to grow.
With rising global energy demand and growing awareness of climate change and its impacts, the share of renewable energies in the global energy mix continues to grow. Unlike conventional power generation, the output of renewable energy sources cannot be controlled as consistently due to their dependence on environmental conditions.
arXiv:2610.27155v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate multi-horizon photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting is essential for grid stability, energy scheduling, and the efficient operation of PVbattery...
arXiv:2608. 02088v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reliable photovoltaic (PV) forecasts are needed for low-carbon energy systems, but newly deployed sites often have short, imperfect records.
arXiv:2608. 11261v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Organic photovoltaic (OPV) materials are promising candidates for distributed solar energy in tropical regions, yet existing virtual screening tools report static power conversion efficiency (PCE) values at standard testing conditions (STC) that fail to capture the temperature-driven performance degradation experienced under real deployment conditions.
arXiv:2505. 05203v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: With the increasing penetration of renewable energy and inverter-based resources, traditional physics-based power-system operation faces growing challenges in maintaining economic efficiency, security, and robustness.
The paper presents a hierarchical ensemble for short‑term photovoltaic power forecasting that fuses temporal neural models, historical analogs, state climatology, and gradient‑boosted trees with horizon‑specific convex weights. Solar geometry and numerical weather forecasts provide expected generation conditions, while a calibration step corrects recent bias using historical forecast errors. Evaluated on PVDAQ and GEFCom2014 data, the ensemble reduces mean absolute error by up to 6% compared to strong individual models, though its advantage varies with dataset and horizon.
The paper introduces IMPACT, a physics‑informed multimodal deep‑learning framework that forecasts photovoltaic power 10–110 minutes ahead with probabilistic outputs. It uses a four‑branch architecture to encode plant‑level temporal history, inverter‑level spatial cloud dynamics, known‑future solar geometry, and current meteorological data, fusing them via gated cross‑attention. The model outperforms 14 baselines, achieving a forecast skill score of 0.2950 and maintaining strong performance under overcast and variable sky conditions.
The thesis presents a domain‑specific automated feature engineering pipeline, AutoEnergy, for energy consumption forecasting. AutoEnergy generates interpretable features from timestamps and lagged consumption, integrates with AutoML, and achieves 19.52%–84.72% error reductions across eighteen real‑world datasets while running 1.31–4.41 times faster than baseline methods. When combined with Decision‑Focused Learning for battery storage, it cuts operating costs by 22.9%–56.5% on a UK property dataset.
arXiv:2607. 12954v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Engineering use of AI forecasting models requires not only high nominal accuracy but also predictable behavior under uncertain inputs.
arXiv:2606. 14707v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: AI training and deployment consume substantial electricity, but carbon outcomes remain weakly integrated into routine model development decisions.
Engineering use of AI forecasting models requires not only high nominal accuracy but also predictable behavior under uncertain inputs. In photovoltaic (PV) forecasting, this requirement is especially challenging because numerical weather prediction (NWP) errors are temporally correlated, state dependent, and physically coupled across variables.