arXiv Machine Learning

Temperature-Driven Sequential Modeling for the Prediction of Annual Power Conversion Efficiency Profiles of Organic Photovoltaic Materials: Douala Case Study

arXiv:2608. 11261v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Organic photovoltaic (OPV) materials are promising candidates for distributed solar energy in tropical regions, yet existing virtual screening tools report static power conversion efficiency (PCE) values at standard testing conditions (STC) that fail to capture the temperature-driven performance degradation experienced under real deployment conditions.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 27

Energy Yield and Lifetime Climate Classification via Machine Learning for Optimizing Photovoltaic Module Design and Materials

The paper presents a machine‑learning based climate classification tailored for photovoltaic (PV) modules, incorporating both energy yield and module lifetime with climate‑dependent degradation. Using an interpolated dataset of twelve input features, the authors identify annual global horizontal irradiation and ambient temperature as the most influential predictors, achieving RMSEs of 0.007 MWh for yield and 1.5 years for lifetime. The resulting hierarchical clustering yields six primary climate clusters (Tropical, Desert, Continental, Temperate, Boreal, Polar) and 15 subclusters, with the low‑temperature continental climate delivering the highest discounted lifetime energy yield.

By Youri Blom, Sofia Dutto, Alexandru Costache, Rowan Richie, Ruben Pelsser, Wesley Berger, Jing Sun, Rudi Santbergen, Olindo Isabella, Malte Ruben Vogt
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 10

SolarBench: A global solar energy nowcasting benchmark

SolarBench is an open global benchmark for image-based solar nowcasting that consolidates over six million sky and satellite images from 11 sites across a decade, paired with irradiance, PV output, and atmospheric data. The benchmark includes a toolbox for reproducible data access, processing, model development, and evaluation. Using SolarBench, the authors benchmark representative models, uncover a gap between average forecasting accuracy and the capture of rapid solar fluctuations, quantify predictability across cloud regimes, and demonstrate data‑efficient adaptation to new PV systems.

By Yuhao Nie, Stephen Campbell, Quentin Paletta, Liwenbo Zhang, Tao Jing, Samer Chaaraoui, Jonathan Giezendanner, Andea Scott, Tao Sun, Cong Feng, Max Aragon, Jacques Camier, Adam Jensen, Florian Kotthoff, Yuexing Yang, Yang Ming, Mengying Li, Stefanie Meilinger, Yupeng Wu, Adam Brandt, Sherrie Wang
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 14

Robustness of Deep Learning Models for PV Power Forecasting under NWP Forecast Errors: A Spatiotemporal and Physically Interpretable Analysis

Engineering use of AI forecasting models requires not only high nominal accuracy but also predictable behavior under uncertain inputs. In photovoltaic (PV) forecasting, this requirement is especially challenging because numerical weather prediction (NWP) errors are temporally correlated, state dependent, and physically coupled across variables.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 2

Accelerating Chemical Kinetics for Exoplanet Atmospheres using Neural Networks

The paper introduces a neural‑network based local‑box chemical kinetics solver for exoplanet atmospheres, employing a residual flow‑map architecture. It achieves microsecond‑scale inference with percent‑level accuracy across a wide range of temperatures, pressures, time steps, and compositional variations, outperforming other machine‑learning models and handling the extreme stiffness of atmospheric chemistry. The surrogate model offers a flexible, efficient alternative to classical solvers for state‑to‑state flow‑map problems in numerical simulations.

By Isaac Malsky, Xi Zhang, Tiffany Kataria, Matthew Graham, Ziyu Huang, Boris Bonev, Shang-Min Tsai, Elspeth K. H. Lee
arXiv AI
Sep 15

Horizon-specific Expert Fusion for Photovoltaic Power Forecasting

The paper presents a hierarchical ensemble for short‑term photovoltaic power forecasting that fuses temporal neural models, historical analogs, state climatology, and gradient‑boosted trees with horizon‑specific convex weights. Solar geometry and numerical weather forecasts provide expected generation conditions, while a calibration step corrects recent bias using historical forecast errors. Evaluated on PVDAQ and GEFCom2014 data, the ensemble reduces mean absolute error by up to 6% compared to strong individual models, though its advantage varies with dataset and horizon.

By Xu Yuqing, Zhou Liguo, Sun Ze, Yu Lei, Jiang Mingming
arXiv AI
Jun 2

From Evaluation to Design: Using Potential Energy Surface Smoothness Metrics to Guide Machine Learning Interatomic Potential Architectures

arXiv:2602. 04861v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Machine Learning Interatomic Potentials (MLIPs) sometimes fail to reproduce the physical smoothness of the quantum potential energy surface (PES), leading to erroneous behavior in downstream simulations that standard energy and force regression evaluations can miss.

By Ryan Liu, Eric Qu, Tobias Kreiman, Samuel M. Blau, Aditi S. Krishnapriyan
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 1

ElemeNet: Multiscale Molecular Machine Learning with Uncertainty Quantification Across the Periodic Table

arXiv:2606. 30961v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Advances in deep learning architectures and representations have enabled ML-driven chemical property prediction, but state-of-the-art (SOTA) models have remained largely confined to independent codebases and lack support for diverse chemical species.

By Jacob W. Toney, Samir Darouich, Yiran Wang, Aaron G. Garrison, Johannes K\"astner, Heather J. Kulik
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 26

Differential Learning for Robust Prediction of Thermal Stability with Application to Energetic Materials

arXiv:2608.23874v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Predicting thermal stability during handling and storage is essential for the design of safe and reliable energetic materials. However, experimental...

By Megan C. Davis, R. Seaton Ullberg, Jeremy N. Schroeder, Andrew H. Salij, Marc J. Cawkwell, Christopher J. Snyder, Ivana Matanovic, Wilton J. M. Kort-Kamp
arXiv AI
Jul 10

PARA-PV: Physics-Aware Retrieval-Augmented PV Prediction Based on Frozen Foundation Model and Distribution Shift Correction

arXiv:2607. 08079v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting is essential for reliable grid dispatch and renewable energy integration, yet it remains challenging because PV generation is jointly shaped by weather variability, day-night transitions, regime-dependent dynamics, and strict physical constraints.

By Hang Fan, Weican Liu, Ying Lu, Dunnan Liu, Long Cheng, Wei Wei