arXiv AI

Improving Wind and Solar Power Prediction with Efficient Wrapper-based Feature Selection: An Empirical Study

arXiv:2607. 14024v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: With rising global energy demand and growing awareness of climate change and its impacts, the share of renewable energies in the global energy mix continues to grow.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 27

Energy Yield and Lifetime Climate Classification via Machine Learning for Optimizing Photovoltaic Module Design and Materials

The paper presents a machine‑learning based climate classification tailored for photovoltaic (PV) modules, incorporating both energy yield and module lifetime with climate‑dependent degradation. Using an interpolated dataset of twelve input features, the authors identify annual global horizontal irradiation and ambient temperature as the most influential predictors, achieving RMSEs of 0.007 MWh for yield and 1.5 years for lifetime. The resulting hierarchical clustering yields six primary climate clusters (Tropical, Desert, Continental, Temperate, Boreal, Polar) and 15 subclusters, with the low‑temperature continental climate delivering the highest discounted lifetime energy yield.

By Youri Blom, Sofia Dutto, Alexandru Costache, Rowan Richie, Ruben Pelsser, Wesley Berger, Jing Sun, Rudi Santbergen, Olindo Isabella, Malte Ruben Vogt
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 22

WPBench: A Comprehensive Benchmark for Wind Power Forecasting

arXiv:2609.24444v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate, reliable, and deployable wind power forecasting is critical for power system dispatch, renewable energy integration, and electricity market o...

By Yuhan Zhu, Jilin Hu, Xinying Cai, Yingshan Li, Li Ma, Xiangfei Qiu Linsen Li, Kai Zhang, Yao Fu, Weihao Jiang, Bin Yang
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 31

Bridging AI and Energy Forecasting: An Autonomous Workflow with Customized Toolkit

arXiv:2307. 07191v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Energy forecasting is crucial for the power grid, but fundamentally different from general time series analysis: it highly relies on covariates like meteorological factors, and its goals must align with actual power grid operations, such as risk assessment and system reliability.

By Zhixian Wang, Leandro Von Krannichfeldt, Qingsong Wen, Chaoli Zhang, Liang Sun, Shirui Pan, Yi Wang
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 27

Technical Comparative Benchmarking Study: Advanced AI Hybrid Methods for Renewable Energy Farm Optimization and Forecasting

The paper benchmarks a range of AI methods—conventional ML, ensemble learning, deep neural networks, recurrent architectures, Transformers, graph models, and hybrid ensemble deep learning—on three renewable energy datasets, including large‑scale wave energy converter (WEC) data and wind farm SCADA measurements. Tree ensembles, particularly Extra Trees, outperform traditional ML and neural predictors on structured WEC layout data, achieving a 63.7% MAE reduction over an MLP baseline. Spatial‑temporal graph networks (STGCN) and an RF‑BiLSTM hybrid further improve forecasting accuracy, with the hybrid model reaching an MAE of 150.5 kW, a 75% reduction over a standalone LSTM and 10% better than STGCN. The study concludes that no single architecture dominates; randomized ensembles excel for structured surrogate modeling, graph networks for explicit spatial interactions, and hybrid recurrent ensembles for combined nonlinear tabular and temporal dynamics.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 23

PROSWIN: Probabilistic Solar Wind Speed Forecasting Using Deep Distributional Regression From Solar Images

PROSWIN is a probabilistic machine learning model that forecasts hourly solar wind speed at Earth up to four days ahead, using solar images and magnetograms processed by a deep neural network and distributional regression. It introduces a prediction score metric that rewards both timeline and high‑speed solar wind peak accuracy, achieving well‑calibrated uncertainties and superior performance on 14 years of data compared to existing models. The study highlights the importance of the 171 Å channel and demonstrates that probabilistic forecasts outperform single‑value models for both overall timelines and peak events.

By Daniel Collin, Yuri Shprits, Luca Chiarabini, Stefan J. Hofmeister, Nadja Klein, Guillermo Gallego