arXiv AI

Your AI, On a Dial: Controlling Investment Bias in LLMs with a Single Neuron

arXiv AI
Sep 28

The Price of Thought: Does Test-Time Reasoning Pay in LLM Trading?

The study investigates whether adding inference-time reasoning to large language models (LLMs) improves trading performance. Using a controlled experiment across DeepSeek, GPT, and Gemini models, the authors varied reasoning effort while keeping other variables constant and evaluated over a full year of U.S. equities under three input conditions. Results show that additional reasoning does not reliably increase net portfolio returns and can even lead to nonmonotonic performance and unstable outcomes.

By Jiayi Chen, Guiling Wang
arXiv AI
Aug 20

FinSkillBench: Evaluating AI Agents and Domain Skills for Investment Management

FinSkillBench is an evaluation suite that tests whether language model agents can use financial domain skills to solve investment management tasks across portfolio construction, risk management, and fundamental analysis. The benchmark contains 12 subtasks with 2,603 episodes, each providing point‑in‑time inputs, hidden ground truth, and a verifier. Experiments show that curated skill packages improve performance significantly, while self‑generated skills offer little benefit, indicating that reliable procedural skills are crucial for effective AI agents in this domain.

By Jermyn Zhen Yong Bek, Zhuang Qiang Bok, Zhongtian Sun
arXiv AI
Sep 17

EvolveTrade: Experience-Driven Policy Refinement for Self-Evolving LLM Trading Agents

EvolveTrade is a self‑evolving framework that treats the system prompt of a tool‑using LLM trading agent as a text‑parameterized policy. After each update interval, a Policy Agent revises this policy using accumulated decision traces and portfolio feedback while keeping the backbone LLM fixed, allowing the agent to refine its information‑acquisition and portfolio‑construction procedures over time. Experiments across multiple market regimes and two LLM backbones show that EvolveTrade often improves Sharpe Ratio and Cumulative Return over fixed‑policy baselines, with behavioral analyses indicating increased code‑mediated analysis and regime‑relevant computations.

By Sehee Kim, Yumin Choi, Minki Kang, Sung Ju Hwang
arXiv AI
Sep 17

Market Signal Injection: Adversarial Context Manipulation of LLM Pricing Agents

The paper introduces Market Signal Injection (MSI), an attack that alters how market data is formatted or described—without changing its numerical values—to influence large language model (LLM) pricing agents. Experiments on nine open‑weight and three proprietary models in simulated duopoly and triopoly markets show that sentiment‑based formatting changes cause significant shifts in firm behavior, profits, and consumer surplus. The study also demonstrates that model susceptibility varies across families, that larger models are not always more robust, and that techniques such as input canonicalization and decision boundary anchoring can partially mitigate these attacks.

By Dohun Lee, Hyunwoo Park
arXiv AI
Jul 14

Can Agentic Trading Systems Pay for Their Own Intelligence?

arXiv:2607. 10286v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language model (LLM) agents are increasingly used in trading systems, where model reasoning, tool use, and continual decisions incur costs that are expected to produce trading value.

By Qiqi Duan, Changlun Li, Chen Wang, Fan Zhang, Mengxiang Wang, Dayi Miao, Peixian Ma, Jiangpeng Yan, Liyuan Chen, Shuoling Liu, Preslav Nakov, Yuyu Luo, Nan Tang