arXiv Machine Learning

RouteTS: Frequency-Time Routing for Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2608. 14682v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Real-world time series inherently intertwine global periodic structures with localized non-stationary variations.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 19

Spectral Retrieval-Augmented Time-Series Forecasting

arXiv:2606. 19412v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting leverages historical patterns to predict future values, but traditional methods face challenges when dealing with complex, non-stationary patterns that are difficult to memorize during training.

By Huu Hiep Nguyen, Minh Hoang Nguyen, Dung Nguyen, Hung Le
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 20

DecoVAE: a Lightweight Interpretable Trend-Seasonal VAE Framework for Efficient Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting

Probabilistic time series forecasting remains challenging, largely because modeling distinct trend and seasonal dynamics requires specialized approaches. Existing methods often fail to capture the unique inner properties of these components, lack interpretability, or suffer from heavy memory and runtime overhead.

arXiv AI
Aug 25

FreKoo++: Learning Continuous Spectral Dynamics for Temporal Domain Generalization

FreKoo++ is a continuous spectral-dynamical framework designed for Temporal Domain Generalization (TDG). It unifies continuous Koopman modal dynamics with adaptive spectral disentanglement, mapping source-domain parameters into a latent space and modeling their evolution as a superposition of learnable continuous modes. The method handles irregular timestamps, supports arbitrary horizon extrapolation, and introduces an adaptive soft spectral weighting mechanism that isolates persistent dynamics from transient noise, achieving state‑of‑the‑art performance on discrete and continuous TDG benchmarks.

By En Yu, Xiaoyu Yang, Wei Duan, Guangquan Zhang, Jie Lu
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 15

Time Series Analysis in Frequency Domain: A Survey of Open Challenges, Opportunities and Benchmarks

The survey reviews frequency‑domain techniques for time‑series analysis, covering classical Fourier methods to modern neural operators. It identifies three main research challenges: preserving causal structure during spectral transformations, quantifying uncertainty in learned frequency representations, and performing topology‑aware analysis for non‑Euclidean data. By reviewing over 100 studies, the authors propose a unified taxonomy, establish standardized benchmarks, and highlight gaps in geometric deep learning and quantum‑enhanced spectral analysis.

By Qianru Zhang, Yuting Sun, Honggang Wen, Peng Yang, Xinzhu Li, Ming Li, Kwok-Yan Lam, Siu-Ming Yiu, Hongzhi Yin
arXiv AI
Aug 10

Seeking SOTA: Time-Series Forecasting Must Adopt Taxonomy-Specific Evaluation to Dispel Illusory Gains

arXiv:2603. 15506v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We argue that the current practice of evaluating AI/ML time-series forecasting models, predominantly on benchmarks characterized by strong, persistent periodicities and seasonalities, obscures real progress by overlooking the performance of efficient classical methods.

By Raeid Saqur, Christoph Bergmeir, Blanka Horvath, Daniel Schmidt, Frank Rudzicz, Terry Lyons