arXiv:2608. 14682v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Real-world time series inherently intertwine global periodic structures with localized non-stationary variations.
arXiv:2606. 19412v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting leverages historical patterns to predict future values, but traditional methods face challenges when dealing with complex, non-stationary patterns that are difficult to memorize during training.
arXiv:2606. 06010v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Long-term time series forecasting benefits from inductive biases that expose recurring temporal structure.
arXiv:2606. 17070v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate oceanic forecasting is critical for climate monitoring and disaster early warning.
arXiv:2605. 15690v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Accurate and efficient long-term multivariate time series forecasting requires capturing recurring temporal structure while keeping inference cheap across many variables and horizons.
arXiv:2607. 09537v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting requires models to capture diverse, often mutually exclusive, temporal dynamics, from smooth trend continuation to nonstationary drift and strict phase-aligned recurrence.
arXiv:2604. 05543v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Multivariate time series forecasting often struggles to capture long-range dependencies due to fixed lookback windows.
arXiv:2607. 06607v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate long-term forecasting in complex systems is frequently compromised by dataset-level distribution shifts, where diverse underlying behavioral modes and evolving system states drive the dynamic multivariate time-series.
arXiv:2603. 15506v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We argue that the current practice of evaluating AI/ML time-series forecasting models, predominantly on benchmarks characterized by strong, persistent periodicities and seasonalities, obscures real progress by overlooking the performance of efficient classical methods.
arXiv:2606. 25439v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Deep learning-based models have achieved state-of-the-art performance in Time Series Forecasting (TSF), yet their evaluation remains dominated by pointwise error metrics such as Mean Squared Error (MSE), which quantify numerical accuracy but overlook structural properties of the forecast signal, including recurrent dynamics, oscillatory behavior, and phase alignment.
arXiv:2608. 04695v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Federated adaptation of time-series foundation models (TSFMs) is attractive for building energy forecasting because meter data are private, distributed, and highly non-IID.
Federated adaptation of time-series foundation models (TSFMs) is attractive for building energy forecasting because meter data are private, distributed, and highly non-IID. However, a single parameter-sharing strategy is unlikely to serve all pretrained TSFMs or building clients: fully shared adapters can suppress building-specific temporal behavior, while fully local adaptation discards cross-building transfer.
arXiv:2608. 08675v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Long-term time series forecasting benefits from preserving global structure such as trends and seasonality.