arXiv Machine Learning

UHI-Bench: Benchmarking Dual-Source Urban Heat Island Modeling Across Cities in Diverse Climate Regimes

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 11

Urban Heat MiniCubes: An AI-Ready dataset for urban heat research

arXiv:2606. 11534v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Urban heat is amplified by impermeable surfaces and heterogeneous built environments, yet street-level variability remains difficult to quantify because multi-sensor observations are rarely available in consistent, analysis-ready form at the necessary spatiotemporal scales.

By Jonathan Starfeldt, Maria J. Molina, Alexander Kerr, Adam Yang, Thomas R. H. Holmes, Christopher R. Hain
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 2

Less is more: error-distance scaling relation for data-efficient kilometer-scale downscaling of extreme heat

arXiv:2609.40140v2 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Extreme heat is where urban adaptation needs kilometer-scale data the most, but the simulations training a downscaler can cost more than they save, a...

By Ahmed Marey, Henry Lu, Abhishek Gaur, Sherif Goubran, Malek Aloui, Theodore Potsis, David Rolnick, Alex Hernandez-Garcia, Liangzhu Leon Wang
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 12

Fast localized urban microclimate emulator: wind and temperatures in unseen urban morphologies

Fast Localized Urban Microclimate Emulator (FLUME) is a rapid, data‑efficient framework that predicts three‑dimensional wind and temperature fields in urban environments using a Fourier neural operator. It incorporates a Multi‑Directional Distance Feature (MDDF) to capture building geometry effects and is trained on CFD simulations of only 23 urban blocks, achieving mean absolute errors of 0.2 m/s for velocity and 0.19 °C for temperature on unseen configurations. An ensemble approach provides epistemic uncertainty estimates, with higher uncertainty in roof‑level shear layers, building wakes, and near‑ground vertical velocity.

By Shaoxiang Qin, Theodore Potsis, Dongxue Zhan, Xue Liu, Ted Stahopoulos, Liangzhu Leon Wang
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 14

Parameter estimation for land-surface models using Neural Physics

arXiv:2505. 02979v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We propose a novel inverse-modelling approach that estimates the parameters of a simple land-surface model (LSM) by assimilating data into a differentiable, physics-based forward model formulated using convolutional operations.

By Ruiyue Huang, Claire E. Heaney, Maarten van Reeuwijk
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 3

RESCAST-100K: A Comprehensive Dataset for Cross-Domain Residential Load and Indoor Temperature Forecasting

arXiv:2606. 02852v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate short-term forecasting of residential energy load and indoor temperature is essential for home energy management systems, grid-level demand response, and community energy efficiency efforts.

By Jainam Dhruva, Yousaf Raza, A. B. Siddique, Simone Silvestri
arXiv AI
Sep 28

Understanding Perturbed Parameter Ensemble Sensitivities Using A Contrastive Learning Approach

The paper introduces an explainable contrastive learning model that maps five monthly cloud and radiation fields into a shared representation space to analyze perturbed parameter ensembles (PPEs) in climate simulations. Trained on two 100-member Community Atmosphere Model version 6 PPEs differing only in the warm rain microphysics scheme (KK2000 vs. TAU-ML), the model achieves over 94% linear classification accuracy while preserving seasonal variability and ensemble spread. The learned representations place satellite observations on the same low‑dimensional manifold as the PPEs, with TAU-ML PPE closer to observations, and Integrated Gradients attribution identifies key regional contributions linked to cloud microphysics, boundary layer turbulence, and deep convection.

By Da Fan, David John Gagne II, Gregory S Elsaesser, Brian Medeiros, Addisu G Semie, Qingyuan Yang, Akila Sampath, Subashree Venkatasubramanian