arXiv:2606. 23880v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: From climate teleconnections to gene regulation, modern time-series datasets encompass tens or hundreds of interacting variables, making causal discovery increasingly challenging.
arXiv:2606. 17516v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery from observational data remains challenging due to the need to recover directed structure and latent confounding without interventions.
arXiv:2609.31315v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Unobserved common causes are pervasive in real-world time series and can induce spurious associations that causal discovery methods mistake for direc...
The paper tackles selecting a cost‑constrained set of experiments that most effectively tighten bounds on a partially identifiable causal query. It formalizes this as the NP‑hard max‑potency problem, introduces efficient graphical pruning rules to reduce the search space, and demonstrates the approach on synthetic graphs and real NHANES data to estimate the effect of physical activity on diabetes.
arXiv:2607. 04108v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models are increasingly used as evolutionary engines for scientific discovery: generate candidates, select winners, feed them back as parents, and repeat.
arXiv:2608. 02877v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal discovery recovers directed structure from observational data and is increasingly used in clinical settings to support mechanism reasoning and fairness audits of predictive models.
arXiv:2607. 21680v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Bridge infrastructure deteriorates gradually, yet its root causes---salt intrusion, freezing, fatigue cracking, and others---remain invisible to the naked eye.
arXiv:2607. 03999v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects (CATE) requires simultaneously detecting effect modification and quantifying estimation uncertainty.
MECHVAR is a lightweight, auditable rule for selecting experiments from a finite library to discriminate between candidate mechanisms. It chooses probes by maximizing the posterior‑weighted variance of predicted responses, a score that aligns with the Box–Hill pairwise‑KL criterion and links to expected information gain when separations are small. Experiments on a 25‑block audit and a Digits loop show MECHVAR outperforming confirmation‑first strategies and matching or exceeding EIG in identification accuracy while being far faster to compute.
arXiv:2608. 03868v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal Discovery (CD) from observational data faces two fundamental challenges.
arXiv:2604. 27967v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Background: We introduce StructGP, a continuous-time multi-task Gaussian process that couples process convolutions with differentiable structure learning to uncover a sparse, ordered directed acyclic graph (DAG) of inter-variable dependencies while preserving principled uncertainty.
arXiv:2511.22435v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Invariant learning on graphs aims to build predictors that rely on causal substructures rather than on environment-specific shortcuts. Current meth...
arXiv:2608. 11156v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Conditional Independence (CI) tests are the statistical engine of constraint-based causal discovery: in algorithms such as PC (Peter-Clark) and FCI (Fast Causal Inference), skeleton pruning and key orientations follow directly from CI decisions.