arXiv AI
Aug 5
GENESIS: Towards Explainable Causal Discovery
arXiv:2608. 03868v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal Discovery (CD) from observational data faces two fundamental challenges.
GoT-CD: Graph-of-Thoughts Causal Discovery and the Fragility of Post-hoc Path-Specific Fairness Audits
arXiv:2608. 02877v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal discovery recovers directed structure from observational data and is increasingly used in clinical settings to support mechanism reasoning and fairness audits of predictive models.
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arXiv AI
1d ago
Grounding Healthcare LLMs in a Causal Knowledge Graph: Framework, Metrics, and a Cardiovascular Pilot
arXiv:2608. 15382v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly proposed for healthcare decision support, but their evaluations still reward single-answer accuracy rather than reasoning about interventions, mechanisms, harms, evidence, and uncertainty.
arXiv AI
Jun 3
CauTion: Knowing When to Trust LLMs for Ensemble Causal Discovery
arXiv:2606. 03602v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery from observational data remains challenging due to the fundamental limitations of purely statistical methods, such as statistical distinguishability within equivalence classes and sensitivity to finite sample sizes.
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 7
THBKG: A Temporal Biomedical Knowledge Graph for Decision-Aligned Clinical Advancement Prediction
arXiv:2608. 05982v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Inadequate target--disease linkage accounts for 40--50\% of Phase~II efficacy failures, so anticipating which programmes will advance would let sponsors back the hypotheses most likely to reach patients.
arXiv AI
Jul 28
Structure Over Scale: Schema-Constrained Causal Graphs for RAG
arXiv:2607. 22592v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Graph-based retrieval-augmented generation (GraphRAG) grounds answers in structured knowledge, but current systems extract entities and relationships exhaustively, producing graphs whose size and construction cost scale with corpus length rather than with the reasoning a query requires.
arXiv AI
Jul 29
EviDAG: Auditable Causal DAG Authoring with Biomedical Literature
arXiv:2607. 21859v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Constructing causal directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) is a core step in biomedical causal analysis, yet it remains a largely manual process.
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 7
CaSPECT: Discovering Causally Homogeneous Subgroups via Directed Spectral Clustering
arXiv:2607. 03364v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We propose \textbf{CaSPECT}, a causal spectral clustering framework for discovering causally homogeneous subgroups from observational data.
arXiv AI
Jul 14
CDFM: Towards a General-Purpose Causal Discovery Foundation Model
arXiv:2607. 11508v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery, the process of recovering underlying causal structures from observational data, is a fundamental pursuit across scientific disciplines.
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 4
Capability Provenance in Language Models: A Case Study in Social Reasoning
arXiv:2606. 19625v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We use training-data attribution as an interpretable tool for capability discovery, mapping which regions of the pretraining corpus support social-reasoning versus STEM-reasoning in OLMo3-7B.
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 24
GRACE: Gated Refinement for Accurate Causal Edge Discovery in High-Dimensional Time Series
arXiv:2606. 23880v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: From climate teleconnections to gene regulation, modern time-series datasets encompass tens or hundreds of interacting variables, making causal discovery increasingly challenging.
arXiv AI
Jun 9
Correlation Is Not Enough: Embedding Human Metadata for Individual Causal Discovery
arXiv:2606. 09672v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Ask a pretrained biomedical language model whether "cortisol 28 ug/dL" and "stock-market volatility" are related, and it returns a cosine similarity of 0.
arXiv AI
Aug 5
When Many Answers Are Valid, Voting Fails: Symbolic Verification for Best-of-K Causal Reasoning in LLMs
arXiv:2608. 03506v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Self-consistency assumes the most frequent answer among sampled reasoning traces is the most reliable, but this can fail in causal reasoning: samples often repeat the same confounding error, and votes fragment across multiple valid answers, letting an invalid answer win despite a valid minority trace.