arXiv:2602. 00620v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The zero-shot evaluation of time series foundation models (TSFMs) for classification typically uses a frozen encoder followed by a task-specific classifier.
By Juntao Fang, Shifeng Xie, Shengbin Nie, Yuhui Ling, Yuming Liu, Zijian Li, Keli Zhang, Lujia Pan, Themis Palpanas, Ruichu Cai
arXiv:2607. 07500v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Time series classification (TSC) is dominated by a two-stage paradigm: train a feature encoder -- either from scratch on the target dataset or via pretraining on large corpora -- and then fit a task-specific classifier on top.
By Jaris K\"uken, Shi Bin Hoo, Martin Mr\'az, Frank Hutter, Lennart Purucker
arXiv:2606. 01289v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Zero-shot time series forecasting aims to predict future values for previously unseen series, requiring models to generalize temporal dynamics beyond the training distribution.
By Yifan Wu, Junjie Wu, Kai Wu, Xiaoyu Zhang, Jian Lou
arXiv:2508. 09191v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time series forecasting plays a vital role in supporting decision-making across a wide range of critical applications, including energy, healthcare, and finance.
By Xiaoyu Tao, Shilong Zhang, Mingyue Cheng, Daoyu Wang, Tingyue Pan, Bokai Pan, Changqing Zhang, Shijin Wang
NeST is a framework that adapts large language models (LLMs) for continuous time‑series forecasting by creating neighborhood‑aware text prototypes and aligning them with temporal representations through a nearest‑neighbor contrastive objective. It retrieves the most relevant prototypes and uses them to conditionally modulate time‑series features, enabling more effective integration of textual and temporal information. Experiments show that NeST outperforms state‑of‑the‑art methods on eight benchmarks, reduces MSE by 1.2% for long‑term forecasting, improves zero‑shot forecasting by 4.9%, and boosts R² by 3.3% on a real‑world photovoltaic power forecasting task.
By Jayanie Bogahawatte, Sachith Seneviratne, Maneesha Perera, Saman Halgamuge
The paper introduces PaCTS, a method that generates instance‑adaptive latent prompts—continuous embedding tokens—to provide compact contextual information for frozen time‑series foundation models (TSFMs). These prompts are constructed from instance‑specific global statistics and refined with segment‑level temporal data, enabling the model to capture both global characteristics and local temporal variations. Experiments show that PaCTS improves forecasting performance across various context lengths and model architectures, often outperforming the same backbone with double the context while reducing inference computation, and it also offers stronger improvements and better out‑of‑distribution generalization compared to weight‑space adaptation methods.
The paper introduces the Progressive Memory Transformer (PMT), a transformer variant that adds writable, window‑aligned memory to expose mid‑range representations alongside token and sequence‑level outputs. PMT is trained with a hierarchical learning framework that applies separate objectives at local, mid‑range, and global scales, encouraging the model to capture fine‑grained variation, window‑level motifs, and overall sequence agreement. Experiments on seven UCR/UEA/UCI classification datasets, a cue‑retention probe, and forecasting tasks show that PMT achieves strong low‑label classification performance, competitive multi‑horizon forecasting, and evidence that its memory states encode mid‑range motifs.
By Tord Sture Stangeland, Andreas K\"ohler, Steffen M{\ae}land, Ad\'in Ram\'ires Rivera
TimeBraid is a family of unified models that combine pretrained language models with pretrained time‑series foundation models using interleaved global residual attention layers. The models inherit instruction following, reasoning, and continuous‑signal perception, fusing both modalities into a shared representation space for understanding and generation. The design focuses on aligning representation spaces, grounding language in temporal structure, balancing understanding with generation, and maintaining stable joint optimization, supported by 2.2 M curated series‑text pairs and 4.9 M instruction‑tuning samples. Across diverse benchmarks, TimeBraid competes with larger general‑purpose and task‑specific models.
By Xinyue Wang, Jiacheng Pang, Kun Zhou, Kexin Zhang, Defu Cao, Fan Feng, Faisal, Songyao Jin, Yan Liu, Biwei Huang
arXiv:2605.01418v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Time-series data are inherently multiscale, spanning diverse temporal granularities from coarse trends to fine-scale dynamics. However, existing ti...
By Seokhyun Lee, Jaeho Kim, Changjun Oh, Mihaela van der Schaar, Changhee Lee
arXiv:2601.20845v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Time series forecasting is a fundamental problem with applications in climate, energy, healthcare, and finance. Many existing approaches require do...
By Olaf Yunus Laitinen Imanov, Derya Umut Kulali, Taner Yilmaz
arXiv:2602. 03564v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time series forecasting can be viewed as a generative problem that requires both semantic understanding over contextual conditions and stochastic modeling of continuous temporal dynamics.
By Mingyue Cheng, Yaguo Liu, Daoyu Wang, Xiaoyu Tao, Qi Liu
arXiv:2608. 13262v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have advanced primarily through architectural innovation, while training regimes for large-scale heterogeneous corpora remain under-explored.
By Hongjie Xia, Yiding Liu, Yifan Hu, Peiyuan Liu, Zewei Dong