The paper introduces C$^{3}$T, a Counterfactual Causal Conversation Transformer that models sentiment shifts in social‑media conversation trees by treating discourse moves such as denial, evidence, and toxicity as interventions. It adds a causal sentiment reasoning layer, CaSiRe, to public rumor datasets, providing sentiment, shift, intervention, and causal‑source annotations. Experiments show that C$^{3}$T outperforms text‑only, graph‑based, and temporal baselines in predicting sentiment and attribution, revealing that denials and evidence reduce negativity while toxicity increases it.
arXiv:2606. 05972v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal graphs provide a high-level language for making mechanisms transparent.
By Nirit Nussbaum-Hoffer, Nitay Calderon, Liat Ein-Dor, Roi Reichart
arXiv:2404.06349v3 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: The ability to understand causality significantly impacts the competence of large language models (LLMs) in output explanation and counterfactual r...
By Yu Zhou, Xingyu Wu, Jibin Wu, Liang Feng, Kay Chen Tan
arXiv:2602. 20094v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: As large language models (LLMs) witness increasing deployment in complex, high-stakes decision-making scenarios, it becomes imperative to ground their reasoning in causality rather than spurious correlations.
By Yuzhe Wang, Yaochen Zhu, Jundong Li
arXiv:2608. 25897v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Explaining deep learning models operating on time series data is crucial in various applications that require transparent and interpretable insights into model behavior.
By Xu Zheng, Zichuan Liu, Zhuomin Chen, Mayur Akewar, Janki Bhimani, Jason Liu, Mo Sha, Jingchao Ni, Wei Cheng, Dongsheng Luo
arXiv:2602. 06337v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Causal inference is essential for decision-making but remains challenging for non-experts.
By Junqi Chen, Sirui Chen, Chaochao Lu
Explaining deep learning models operating on time series data is crucial in various applications that require transparent and interpretable insights into model behavior. {Existing explanation methods...
The study evaluates 12 instruction‑tuned open‑weight LLMs on six causal‑graph benchmarks, testing five prompting strategies and four confidence sources. Findings show that LLMs tend to over‑predict edges, misclassify indirect or reversed edges as direct, and exhibit high over‑confidence, while conventional confidence estimates are unreliable and agreement signals offer limited improvement. The results suggest LLMs should be used as externally validated soft causal priors rather than definitive causal‑structure evidence.
By Amit Kumar, Elnur Adl Zarabi, Suranjana Trivedy, Zhiqian Chen, Lei Zhang, Kaiqun Fu, Taoran Ji
arXiv:2606. 07525v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal graphs in text are typically populated by observable, predefined events.
By Liesbeth Allein, Marie-Francine Moens
The paper introduces Causal-Counterfactual RAG, a new framework that augments Retrieval-Augmented Generation with explicit causal graphs and counterfactual reasoning. By incorporating cause‑effect relationships into retrieval and evaluating both direct causal evidence and counterfactual scenarios, the approach aims to produce more robust, accurate, and interpretable answers. This method seeks to maintain contextual coherence, reduce hallucinations, and improve reasoning fidelity compared to traditional RAG systems.
By Harshad Khadilkar, Abhay Gupta
arXiv:2607. 22610v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: When a language model produces a response in a multi-turn conversation, which tokens from prior turns shaped that answer, and how did those dependencies propagate across prior turns?
By Jessica Tang, Shraddha Barke, Sharad Agarwal
arXiv:2508. 21010v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Existing Causal-Why Video Question Answering (VideoQA) models often struggle with higher-order reasoning, relying on opaque, monolithic pipelines that entangle video understanding, causal inference, and answer generation.
By Paritosh Parmar, Eric Peh, Basura Fernando