arXiv AI

Pilot Early, Commit Late: A Real-Options Model of Enterprise AI Adoption under Rapid Technological Progress

The paper presents a two‑period decision model for AI deployment that contrasts immediate deployment, a limited pilot, and waiting. It shows how frontier uncertainty, expected progress, and the value of organization‑specific learning influence the optimal timing of AI adoption, identifying conditions under which a "pilot early, commit late" strategy is best. The model also derives a modularity threshold beyond which immediate deployment becomes optimal and discusses how different learning sources affect timing margins.

arXiv AI
Sep 23

The Moral Check: Strategic AI Governance for the Pacing Problem

The paper titled "The Moral Check: Strategic AI Governance for the Pacing Problem" argues that technology cannot self‑steer and that strategy must guide AI development by ensuring purpose and judgment precede compute. It presents a dual contribution: a PRISMA 2020 review of 130 empirical studies and the Strategic AI Governance Ex‑Ante Framework (SAGE‑X), which operationalizes four strategic mindset pillars to mitigate velocity myopia, moral hazard, empirical hazard endpoints, and guardrail decay. The framework includes a calculable Moral Check Index and an Enterprise Lifecycle Audit Instrument to enforce that AI scaling does not outpace deliberative moral judgment, human agency, and societal trust.

By Zaid Amin, Rahma Santhi Zinaida, Nazlena Mohamad Ali
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 25

LLM Evolution as an Industry-Scale Ecosystem: A Lifecycle Perspective on Continual Learning

arXiv:2606. 24901v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Continual learning capability is critical for Industrial LLMs, as deployed models must be continuously updated to meet evolving requirements and environments, rather than repeatedly retrained from scratch.

By Hao Jiang, Enneng Yang, Guojie Zhu, Yibin Chen, Yunkun Xu, Zifu Kou, Jiayi Li, Chong Chen, Zhao Cao, Li Shen
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 1

Certified Speculative Execution for Untrusted AI Agents

arXiv:2606. 31023v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Hard-constrained sequential decision systems have no certified way to spend the test-time compute of modern AI: executing the multi-step drafts of a learned policy or a frozen LLM forfeits the feasibility guarantee a trusted solver provides, while invoking the solver at every step forfeits the speed the AI offers.

By Chenyu Zhou, Qiliang Jiang, Shuning Wu, Xu Zhou
arXiv AI
Aug 11

The Scaling Paradox in Human-AI Collaboration

arXiv:2608. 00818v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The discovery of scaling laws has highlighted the extraordinary potential of AI systems with a striking empirical pattern: as AI systems scale, their capabilities tend to improve predictably.

By Anyan Qi, Mengxin Wang
arXiv AI
Aug 20

What is Missing from AI Post-Training AI: An Empirical Analysis

The paper investigates the limitations of post-training AI agents that can autonomously train large language models. It distinguishes between execution-level capability—making adjustments within a chosen training strategy—and strategy-level capability—revising the overall approach based on new evidence. Analysis of many public post-training runs shows that agents lock into a strategy early and then only perform local tweaks, regardless of task. Experiments with experience scaffolds, human guidance, and extra compute improve execution but do not enable strategy reevaluation, indicating that agents lack a mechanism to spontaneously reassess their strategy during training.

By Joy Jia Yin Lim, Xin Huang, Hao Peng, Yaxi Lu, Xin Cong, Zhong Zhang, Maosong Sun, Yankai Lin