arXiv AI

H-VAEP and H-xT: Valuing Offensive On-the-Ball Actions in Handball by Estimating Probabilities

arXiv:2608. 12926v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Traditional player evaluation in professional handball relies on basic box-score metrics or heuristic indices, which fail to credit the multi-player build-up chain.

arXiv AI
Jul 17

SportD: Can VLMs Physically Strategize?

arXiv:2607. 14616v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Vision--language models have become increasingly capable of interpreting visual scenes, but it remains unclear whether they can use information to make strategically effective decisions.

By Jasin Cekinmez, Addison J. Wu, Haotian Xia, Akshaya Bharadhwaj, Anay Putty, Anirudh Ravishankar, Jaewoong Lee, Jinglin Xiao, Kyumin Andrew Shim, Mishika Ahuja, Nisarga Patil, Leo Liu, Zhuohan Liu, Weining Shen
arXiv AI
Jun 10

Monte Carlo Pass Search: Using Trajectory Generation for 3D Counterfactual Pass Evaluation in Football

arXiv:2606. 11120v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We recast pass evaluation in football (soccer) as a Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS)-like evaluation problem whose components mostly exist in the literature under different names: a value model (possession value), a world model (multi-agent trajectories with ball interactions), and a policy over counterfactual actions (sampling pass variants with noise).

By Andrew Kang, Priya Narasimhan
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 10

A Statistical and Machine Learning Framework for Quantifying Offensive Impact in Professional Box Lacrosse

The paper presents a statistical and machine‑learning framework for estimating expected goals (xG) and attributing offensive involvement in professional box lacrosse. Using 1,006 manually annotated shot attempts from 13 Rochester Knighthawks games, the authors evaluate logistic regression, random forest, and extremely randomized trees, finding that a contextual baseline random forest achieves the lowest log loss and Brier score. They also introduce a shot‑based expected assist metric and an exploratory expected pick value (xPV) metric, noting that xPV’s magnitude is indistinguishable from noise but shows a directional pattern in permutation tests.

By Robert Jimerson Jr