arXiv Machine Learning

Full-Feature versus Limited-Input Machine Learning for Residential Energy Estimation: A Comparative Analysis of RECS and ResStock Under Realistic Input Constraints

arXiv:2608. 09255v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Residential energy estimates are often needed before detailed envelope characteristics, equipment efficiencies, infiltration, sensor, or billing data are available.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 27

Technical Comparative Benchmarking Study: Advanced AI Hybrid Methods for Renewable Energy Farm Optimization and Forecasting

The paper benchmarks a range of AI methods—conventional ML, ensemble learning, deep neural networks, recurrent architectures, Transformers, graph models, and hybrid ensemble deep learning—on three renewable energy datasets, including large‑scale wave energy converter (WEC) data and wind farm SCADA measurements. Tree ensembles, particularly Extra Trees, outperform traditional ML and neural predictors on structured WEC layout data, achieving a 63.7% MAE reduction over an MLP baseline. Spatial‑temporal graph networks (STGCN) and an RF‑BiLSTM hybrid further improve forecasting accuracy, with the hybrid model reaching an MAE of 150.5 kW, a 75% reduction over a standalone LSTM and 10% better than STGCN. The study concludes that no single architecture dominates; randomized ensembles excel for structured surrogate modeling, graph networks for explicit spatial interactions, and hybrid recurrent ensembles for combined nonlinear tabular and temporal dynamics.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 28

Technical Comparative Benchmarking Study: Advanced AI Hybrid Methods for Renewable Energy Farm Optimization and Forecasting

The paper benchmarks a range of AI methods—conventional ML, ensemble learning, deep neural networks, recurrent architectures, Transformers, graph models, and hybrid ensemble deep learning—on renewable energy datasets. Tree ensembles, especially Extra Trees, outperform other models on structured wave energy converter (WEC) layout data, reducing MAE by about 63.7% relative to an MLP baseline. The RF BiLSTM hybrid delivers the best overall forecasting accuracy for wind farm SCADA data, cutting MAE by roughly 75% compared to a standalone LSTM and surpassing STGCN by about 10%.

By Majid Masoumi, Asghar Dashtiy, Mohammad Dehghan, Mina Rajabi
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 3

RESCAST-100K: A Comprehensive Dataset for Cross-Domain Residential Load and Indoor Temperature Forecasting

arXiv:2606. 02852v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate short-term forecasting of residential energy load and indoor temperature is essential for home energy management systems, grid-level demand response, and community energy efficiency efforts.

By Jainam Dhruva, Yousaf Raza, A. B. Siddique, Simone Silvestri
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 19

An Empirical Benchmark of Deep Time-Series Models for Smart Meter Energy Forecasting

The paper presents an empirical benchmark of nine deep learning models for smart meter energy forecasting, evaluating them on two public datasets. It examines how historical input length, prediction horizon, and model architecture affect accuracy, finding that longer historical context improves performance up to a saturation point while accuracy declines with longer horizons. The study also compares computational cost, showing lightweight models achieve similar accuracy to heavier ones, and notes that model choice matters less across most population segments.

arXiv AI
Jul 14

WattCouncil: Context-Aware Household Energy Scenario Generation With Governed LLMs

arXiv:2607. 10720v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The accelerating shift toward low-carbon power systems, together with the widespread adoption of behind-the-meter technologies such as rooftop solar and electric vehicles, is placing new operational and analytical demands on electricity grids.

By Mohannad Takrouri, Nicolas M. Cuadrado A., Martin Tak\'a\v{c}
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 20

An Empirical Benchmark of Deep Time-Series Models for Smart Meter Energy Forecasting

The paper presents an empirical benchmark of nine modern deep‑learning models for time‑series forecasting of smart‑meter energy consumption, evaluated on two publicly available datasets. It examines how historical input length, prediction horizon, and model architecture affect accuracy, finding that longer historical context improves performance up to a saturation point and that accuracy declines with longer horizons. The study also compares computational complexity, showing that lightweight architectures achieve similar performance to heavier models, and notes that model choice has limited impact across most demographic and household subgroups.

By Behnaz Kavoosighafi, Maria Eidenskog, Wiktoria Glad, Katerina Vrotsou