Towards a Unified Generative Model for Scarce Time Series with Domain Experts
arXiv:2606. 15172v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Synthesizing realistic time series with generative models has wide-ranging applications in real-world scenarios.
arXiv:2606. 01634v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Generating realistic time series is essential for scientific research and real-world applications.
arXiv:2606. 15172v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Synthesizing realistic time series with generative models has wide-ranging applications in real-world scenarios.
arXiv:2605. 11130v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Critical events in multivariate time series, from turbine failures to cardiac arrhythmias, demand accurate prediction, yet labeled data is scarce because such events are rare and costly to annotate.
arXiv:2607. 02437v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting remains challenging when the underlying data contain rare but critical extreme events.
arXiv:2608. 11951v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Extreme events in air transport, such as severe arrival delays and abnormal air times, cause cascading network disruptions with substantial operational, economic, and safety costs.
arXiv:2606. 10466v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In time-series generation, existing approaches typically handcraft ortrain a separate model for each dataset, which hinders their scalability and fails to leverage shared temporal structures across domains.
Aurora‑X is a billion‑parameter time‑series foundation model designed for extreme forecasting tasks. It employs a progressive curriculum that starts with channel‑independent pretraining, then adds cross‑variable dependencies, variable context and horizon lengths, and optional future covariates during mid‑training. A variable‑resolution post‑training stage allows adjustable temporal spans per token at inference, while a pattern‑guided mixture‑of‑experts expands capacity through sparse activation and expert specialization. An implicit quantile network head predicts arbitrary quantiles, enhancing probabilistic forecasting flexibility. Experiments on GIFT‑Eval, TIME, FEV‑Bench, TFB, and DAG‑Bench show state‑of‑the‑art performance against both pretrained TSFMs and task‑specific supervised models.
arXiv:2507. 23615v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Data augmentation is becoming increasingly important across various areas of time series analysis, including forecasting, classification, and anomaly detection.
GenONet introduces a Spatio-Temporal U-DeepONet architecture that serves as a generator in a GAN framework for high‑resolution precipitation nowcasting up to three hours ahead. By learning continuous‑time precipitation dynamics with a Deep Operator Network and enforcing physics through a moisture‑conservation loss, the model produces sharp, physically consistent forecasts that outperform baselines, especially for high‑intensity events and longer lead times. Ablation studies confirm the added value of the physics‑informed regularizer and the synergy of operator learning with adversarial training.
arXiv:2607. 28220v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Atmospheric predictability declines rapidly beyond the next ten days, such that forecasts at longer lead times primarily convey large-scale trends rather than specific states.
arXiv:2511. 20577v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Real-world time series often exhibit strong non-stationarity, complex nonlinear dynamics, and behavior expressed across multiple temporal scales, from rapid local fluctuations to slow-evolving long-range trends.
arXiv:2605.01418v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time-series data are inherently multiscale, spanning diverse temporal granularities from coarse trends to fine-scale dynamics. However, existing ti...
arXiv:2608. 03087v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Fine-grained energy consumption data are essential for applications such as demand forecasting, demand response planning, and grid reliability assessment.