The paper presents a deep learning framework, WGAN‑CLP, that forecasts voltage time‑series under anomalies by employing a Wasserstein GAN with a progressive Lipschitz penalty and an adaptive kernel critic. It processes a sliding window of data, predicts subsequent values, reconstructs the stream, and dynamically adjusts its kernel for each new window. Experiments on voltage and energy datasets show the model surpasses benchmark methods in accuracy and robustness, as measured by power ratios, correlation coefficient, and relative RMSE.
In time-series forecasting tasks, the use of recursive forecasting on high-dimensional data substantially increases the complexity of the prediction process. The main challenge is that long-term dynam...
arXiv:2606. 07569v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate carbon emission monitoring is critical for climate policy and emerging regulatory mechanisms such as the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism, yet city-level high-frequency monitoring data remain extremely scarce, severely limiting data-hungry deep learning models.
The paper presents an empirical benchmark of nine modern deep‑learning models for time‑series forecasting of smart‑meter energy consumption, evaluated on two publicly available datasets. It examines how historical input length, prediction horizon, and model architecture affect accuracy, finding that longer historical context improves performance up to a saturation point and that accuracy declines with longer horizons. The study also compares computational complexity, showing that lightweight architectures achieve similar performance to heavier models, and notes that model choice has limited impact across most demographic and household subgroups.
GenONet introduces a Spatio-Temporal U-DeepONet architecture that serves as a generator in a GAN framework for high‑resolution precipitation nowcasting up to three hours ahead. By learning continuous‑time precipitation dynamics with a Deep Operator Network and enforcing physics through a moisture‑conservation loss, the model produces sharp, physically consistent forecasts that outperform baselines, especially for high‑intensity events and longer lead times. Ablation studies confirm the added value of the physics‑informed regularizer and the synergy of operator learning with adversarial training.
arXiv:2607. 00197v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Long-horizon multivariate time series forecasting (LTSF) remains challenging due to non-stationarity, regime shifts, and error accumulation.
Irregular multivariate time series forecasting (IMTSF) requires capturing temporal dynamics and cross-variable dependencies from sparse, asynchronous observations. Existing methods often rely on learn...
arXiv:2605. 05540v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Fast surrogate modeling for high-dimensional physical dynamics requires more than low short-term error: useful models must roll out efficiently while preserving the statistical structure of long trajectories.
The paper presents an empirical benchmark of nine deep learning models for smart meter energy forecasting, evaluating them on two public datasets. It examines how historical input length, prediction horizon, and model architecture affect accuracy, finding that longer historical context improves performance up to a saturation point while accuracy declines with longer horizons. The study also compares computational cost, showing lightweight models achieve similar accuracy to heavier ones, and notes that model choice matters less across most population segments.
GateTS introduces a streamlined univariate forecasting model that merges sparse Mixture-of-Experts computation with an attention-inspired gating mechanism, eliminating the need for auxiliary load‑balancing losses. The architecture achieves superior predictive accuracy across both short‑ and long‑term horizons, including intermittent signals, while using far fewer parameters than leading transformer models such as PatchTST. Empirical tests on diverse datasets show GateTS is computationally more efficient than LSTM, enabling cost‑effective inference for real‑world time‑series applications.
The paper investigates whether the stable GAN architecture R3GAN can improve time‑series imputation when adapted to 1‑D temporal data. Using a coarse‑to‑fine refinement framework and a frequency‑domain discriminator, the authors evaluate 14 saved configurations across three datasets and find a negative result: most configurations either show negligible improvement or degrade performance compared to baseline methods. The study highlights that the usual argument—GANs optimize distributional objectives rather than point‑wise ones—does not fully explain the lack of benefit, and it poses an open problem regarding why a learned discriminator fails to provide useful refinement gradients while diffusion denoisers succeed, offering practical guidance on when adversarial refinement may be worthwhile.
arXiv:2608. 06107v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Machine learning offers a promising avenue to accelerate physical simulations by replacing computationally expensive traditional Partial Differential Equation (PDE) solvers with fast, differentiable surrogate models.
Aurora‑X is a billion‑parameter time‑series foundation model designed for extreme forecasting tasks. It employs a progressive curriculum that starts with channel‑independent pretraining, then adds cross‑variable dependencies, variable context and horizon lengths, and optional future covariates during mid‑training. A variable‑resolution post‑training stage allows adjustable temporal spans per token at inference, while a pattern‑guided mixture‑of‑experts expands capacity through sparse activation and expert specialization. An implicit quantile network head predicts arbitrary quantiles, enhancing probabilistic forecasting flexibility. Experiments on GIFT‑Eval, TIME, FEV‑Bench, TFB, and DAG‑Bench show state‑of‑the‑art performance against both pretrained TSFMs and task‑specific supervised models.