arXiv:2608. 06765v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Continuous-time dynamic graph models predict future links by compressing past interactions into neural states.
arXiv:2608. 10433v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Temporal reports are increasingly emitted alongside numerical forecasts and are often interpreted as statements about the computation producing those forecasts.
arXiv:2608. 10433v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time-series forecasters increasingly accompany numerical predictions with explicit temporal reports, such as delays or selected history, but a correct report need not describe the information actually used by the forecast.
arXiv:2607. 25554v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Future event prediction carries broad social impact yet remains challenging.
arXiv:2607. 14733v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Temporal Knowledge Graphs (TKGs) record how facts evolve over time, but forecasting future events on a TKG remains difficult for three reasons: (i) long-range temporal dependencies are hard to encode; (ii) events on different chains mutually excite or inhibit one another in ways that snapshot-level models cannot express; and (iii) inter-arrival times are heavy-tailed and statistically sparse, so deterministic time predictors are unreliable.
arXiv:2607. 09232v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Temporal knowledge graphs (TKGs) represent evolving relational systems, whose underlying data-generating processes often change over time.
arXiv:2606. 27199v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Successful forecasting involves identifying patterns between historical and future states of the world which generalize to future observations.
arXiv:2509. 09474v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We address the task of temporal knowledge graph forecasting with an inherently interpretable method based on symbolic rules.
arXiv:2605. 22681v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: AI systems are increasingly used to support forward-looking scientific judgment, but it remains unclear whether they can form reliable expectations about future scientific advances.
arXiv:2606. 11445v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Trust in an AI system is often anchored by explanations of how it works, which one then uses to forecast its behavior on new inputs.
arXiv:2607. 08046v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models fine-tuned for forecasting can be accurate yet poorly calibrated, and their chain-of-thought (CoT) reasoning may not faithfully reflect the evidence behind a forecast.
arXiv:2607. 11327v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Model editing keeps large language models (LLMs) up to date without retraining, but temporal facts expose a limitation of the prevailing locate-and-edit paradigm: an update is not always a replacement.
arXiv:2608. 16224v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: By leveraging large-scale pretraining, LLMs can interpret diverse temporal expressions and question formulations without task-specific training.