The paper introduces the Continuous Evolution Pool (CEP), a replay‑free framework for online time series forecasting that tackles recurring concept drift. CEP maintains a dynamic pool of specialized forecasters, using lightweight statistical genes to identify concepts, spawn new models when distribution shifts occur, and prune obsolete ones under memory limits. Experiments on real‑world datasets show CEP reduces forecasting error by up to 24% compared to state‑of‑the‑art baselines, especially in scenarios with pronounced recurring drift.
By Tianxiang Zhan, Ming Jin, Yuanpeng He, Yuxuan Liang, Shirui Pan
arXiv:2607. 19382v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deep learning models have shown strong potential for time series forecasting, yet their deployment in real-world environmental monitoring remains challenging due to non-stationary dynamics and limited explainability.
By Quentin Besnard (RFAI), Emmanuel Doumard (BDTLN), Nicolas Labroche (LIFAT, BDTLN), Nicolas Ragot (RFAI), Nicolas Ringuet (BDTLN)
arXiv:2606. 31420v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Test-Time Adaptation (TTA) enables models trained on a source domain to adapt online to unlabeled test data under distribution shifts.
By Shaoyang Huang, Yashi Zhu, Yichen Yu, Lei Zhang, Zhang Yi, Tao He
arXiv:2602. 11550v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) achieve strong zero-shot forecasting through large-scale pre-training, but adapting them to downstream domains under distribution shift remains challenging.
By Sisuo Lyu, Siru Zhong, Tiegang Chen, Weilin Ruan, Qingxiang Liu, Taiqiang Lv, Qingsong Wen, Raymond Chi-Wing Wong, Yuxuan Liang
arXiv:2602. 03164v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time series forecasting (TSF) plays a critical role in decision-making for many real-world applications.
By Xiaoyu Tao, Mingyue Cheng, Ze Guo, Shuo Yu, Yaguo Liu, Qi Liu, Shijin Wang
RATL is a plug‑in method for multivariate time‑series forecasting that uses a frozen base forecaster to build a memory of its historical forecast residuals. During inference, RATL retrieves residual trajectories from similar past contexts and employs a set‑aware router to combine them, providing learned feedback correction. Experiments demonstrate that this residual‑retrieval approach improves the performance of the base forecaster across various benchmarks and backbones.
By Yuchen He, Yueyang Cang, Zhiyuan Ning, Ningyu Wang, Li Shi
CTRL is a new framework for time‑series forecasting that separates semantic reasoning from quantitative prediction. It uses a frozen backbone to produce base forecasts, while LLM agents act as controllers that analyze prediction errors by decomposing them into trend, seasonal, and irregular components. The agents generate compact control signals that a lightweight residual decoder uses to correct the forecasts, and the system can adapt at test time to distribution shifts with only a few LLM calls.
By Minkyoung Kim, Daeun Ji, Yohan Lee, Beomsoo Kim, Beakcheol Jang
arXiv:2609.39789v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Real-world time series forecasting systems operate under non-stationary data streams, where forecasting performance may degrade over time. Although r...
By Yeryeong Kwak, Yoo-Min Jung, Jonghun Park
arXiv:2607. 09232v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Temporal knowledge graphs (TKGs) represent evolving relational systems, whose underlying data-generating processes often change over time.
By Konrad \"Ozdemir, Julia Gastinger, Lukas Kirchdorfer, Heiner Stuckenschmidt
arXiv:2609.36655v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Continual test-time adaptation (CTTA) adapts a source model to an unlabeled test stream whose distribution may change over time. Existing TTA methods o...
By Youjia Zhang, Huiling Liu, Soyun Choi, Jaehong Yoon, Sungeun Hong
arXiv:2606. 28670v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We introduce MACROCAST, a lightweight Time Series Foundation Model (TSFM) for real-time macroeconomic forecasting.
By Andrea Carriero, Davide Pettenuzzo, Shubhranshu Shekhar
arXiv:2606. 07890v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Performative prediction studies feedback loops that arise when predictive models are deployed in consequential domains.
By Jaewook Lee, Tijana Zrnic