arXiv AI

When Does Small Data Work? Accuracy and Efficiency Trade-offs Between Tabular Foundation Models and Conventional Methods for Crowd-State Classification at Hajj and Umrah

arXiv:2607. 04013v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Learning from few labeled examples is a central challenge in tabular machine learning, and it becomes the binding constraint in domains where labeling is costly, such as crowd monitoring during Hajj and Umrah.

arXiv AI
Sep 15

Generalization Can Emerge in Tabular Foundation Models From a Single Table

The paper demonstrates that a tabular foundation model can achieve strong generalization using only a single real table for self‑supervised pre‑training, challenging the belief that large synthetic or real datasets are necessary. By systematically pre‑training and evaluating across diverse benchmarks, the authors show that the number and quality of tasks that can be derived from a dataset are critical for downstream performance. This finding suggests that carefully constructed task sets from limited data can enable effective transfer learning in tabular models.

By Junwei Ma, Nour Shaheen, Alex Labach, Amine Mhedhbi, Frank Hutter, Anthony L. Caterini, Valentin Thomas
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 30

The Advantage of Fine-Grained Training

arXiv:2509. 05130v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: In classification problems, models are trained to predict a class label based on the input data features.

By Davide Pirovano, Federico Milanesio, Michele Caselle, Piero Fariselli, Matteo Osella
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 25

A Probabilistic Approach for Model Alignment with Human Comparisons

The paper proposes a two‑stage framework, SL+LHF, that first learns low‑dimensional representations from noisy labeled data and then refines model alignment using human comparison feedback via a probabilistic bisection approach. It introduces the label‑noise‑to‑comparison‑accuracy (LNCA) ratio to theoretically identify when this framework outperforms pure supervised learning, showing that trading labels for comparisons reduces sample complexity when labels are scarce. Experiments on a high‑dimensional crowdfunding prediction task and an Amazon Mechanical Turk study confirm that incorporating human or large language model evaluators improves accuracy under a fixed query budget.

By Junyu Cao, Mohsen Bayati
arXiv AI
Jun 4

Learning to Evaluate: Cost-Effective Model Evaluation on Unlabeled Data with Meta-Learning

arXiv:2605. 23595v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The rapid advancement of machine learning has led to an unprecedented expansion of model ecosystems, making it increasingly difficult to assess the reliability of newly released models on unseen and unlabeled data.

By Trinh Pham, Viet Huynh, Hongzhi Yin, Quoc Viet Hung Nguyen, Thanh Tam Nguyen
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 14

TabH2O: A Unified Foundation Model for Tabular Prediction

arXiv:2605. 18383v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We present TabH2O, a foundation model for tabular data that performs classification and regression in a single forward pass via in-context learning.

By Pascal Pfeiffer, Dmitry Gordeev, Mathias M\"uller, Laura Fink, Joan Salv\`a Soler, Mark Landry, Branden Murray, Marcos V. Conde, Sri Satish Ambati
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 16

Foundation Models for Credit Risk Prediction: A Game Changer?

arXiv:2605. 18147v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Predictive models play a pivotal role in credit risk management, guiding critical decisions through accurate estimation of default probabilities and losses.

By Bart Baesens, Andreas Goethals, Stefan Lessmann, Simon De Vos, Cristi\'an Bravo, David Martens, Victor Medina-Olivares, Christophe Mues, Maria Oskarsd\'ottir, Seppe vanden Broucke, Tony Van Gestel, Tim Verdonck, Wouter Verbeke
arXiv Machine Learning
4d ago

TabFM: A Zero-Shot Foundation Model for Tabular Data

arXiv:2609.37959v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Tabular machine learning typically relies on per-dataset workflows, fitting tree ensembles or running AutoML searches from scratch for every task. We p...

By Weihao Kong, Erez Louidor Ilan, Shuxin Nie, Taman Narayan, Rajat Sen, Yichen Zhou, Deqing Fu, Samet Oymak, Abhimanyu Das
arXiv Machine Learning
1d ago

How many labelers do you have? A closer look at gold-standard labels

The paper examines the common practice of aggregating multiple labels per instance into a single ‘true’ label for supervised learning. By creating a theoretical model, the authors show that using the full, non‑aggregated label information can make it easier to train well‑calibrated models, though the benefits depend on the specific problem. They predict when non‑aggregated labels will improve learning and validate these predictions on real datasets.

By Chen Cheng, Hilal Asi, John Duchi