arXiv Machine Learning

An Identifiability Theory of Masked Prediction: Mode Blindness and Mask Schedules

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 31

TIER-MoE: Trust-Informed Expert Routing via Conditional Modality Risk for Multimodal Fusion in Biomedical Classification

arXiv:2607. 27289v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The promise of multimodal fusion lies in combining complementary sources of evidence, yet more evidence does not always yield a better prediction.

By Yu Chang, Anzhe Cheng, Chenwei Wu, Zhuoran Wang, Jiahao Chen, Tamoghna Chattopadhyay, Sophia I. Thomopoulos, Paul M. Thompson, Liyue Shen, Paul Bogdan
arXiv AI
Aug 11

Multimodal Federated Learning under Dual-Axis Modality Missingness

arXiv:2608. 09240v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multimodal federated learning (FL) supports collaborative modeling in privacy-sensitive health-sensing and medical settings, but realistic deployments often exhibit dual-axis modality missingness: clients have different modality sets, and individual samples may contain only subsets of the modalities available locally.

By Adiba Orzikulova, Jaehyun Kwak, Jaemin Shin, Yunqi Guo, Xiaomin Ouyang, Guoliang Xing, Steven Euijong Whang, Sung-Ju Lee
arXiv Statistics ML
Aug 27

Coarsening Latent-Class Probabilities: Directional Distortion and Coverage Loss

The paper studies how coarsening a calibrated probability vector—by converting it to a hard label such as an argmax or a confidence threshold—affects the estimation of a treatment effect vector τ in a partially linear regression setting. It shows that the plug‑in estimator converges to a distorted version Δτ, where the distortion operator ΔΔ depends on the regression of the discarded part of the score on the retained part. The authors derive how this distortion drives coverage loss of Wald confidence intervals, provide estimable formulas for the bias and coverage, and demonstrate severe loss in simulations and real‑data audits.

By Marcell T. Kurbucz
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 1

Prediction-Powered Conditional Inference

arXiv:2603.05575v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We study prediction-powered conditional inference in the setting where labeled data are scarce, unlabeled covariates are abundant, and a blac...

By Yang Sui, Jin Zhou, Hua Zhou, Xiaowu Dai
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 9

Disentangled Feature Importance

arXiv:2507. 00260v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: When predictors are statistically dependent, the appropriate definition of feature importance depends on the operational goal.

By Jin-Hong Du, Kathryn Roeder, Larry Wasserman