arXiv:2307. 07191v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Energy forecasting is crucial for the power grid, but fundamentally different from general time series analysis: it highly relies on covariates like meteorological factors, and its goals must align with actual power grid operations, such as risk assessment and system reliability.
By Zhixian Wang, Leandro Von Krannichfeldt, Qingsong Wen, Chaoli Zhang, Liang Sun, Shirui Pan, Yi Wang
arXiv:2508. 18486v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Over the past few years, machine learning-based data-driven weather prediction has been transforming operational weather forecasting by providing more accurate forecasts while using a mere fraction of computing power compared to traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP).
By Zekun Ni, Jonathan Weyn, Hang Zhang, Yanfei Xiang, Jiang Bian, Weixin Jin, Kit Thambiratnam, Qi Zhang, Haiyu Dong, Hongyu Sun
The paper introduces Probabilistic Bias Correction (PBC), a machine learning framework that learns to correct historical probabilistic forecasts, thereby reducing systematic errors in subseasonal weather predictions. Applied to leading dynamical and AI models from ECMWF, PBC doubles the AI system’s modest subseasonal skill and improves the operationally-debiased dynamical model for most pressure, temperature, and precipitation targets. In ECMWF’s 2025 real‑time forecasting competition, PBC’s global forecasts ranked first across all weather variables and lead times, outperforming multiple operational and ensemble models.
By Hannah Guan, Soukayna Mouatadid, Paulo Orenstein, Judah Cohen, Haiyu Dong, Zekun Ni, Jeremy Berman, Genevieve Flaspohler, Alex Lu, Jakob Schloer, Joshua Talib, Jonathan A. Weyn, Lester Mackey
arXiv:2605.16929v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Global climate models are essential tools to simulate past and potential future pathways of climate change, as well as associated climate impacts....
By Graham Clyne, Julia Kaltenborn, Peer Nowack, Claire Monteleoni, Anastase Charantonis
arXiv:2510. 02415v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Machine learning models for the global atmosphere that are capable of producing stable, multi-year simulations of Earth's climate have recently been developed.
By Bosong Zhang, Timothy M. Merlis
arXiv:2609.13453v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Earth Observation (EO) data are increasingly organized as spatio-temporal data cubes, while machine learning (ML) methods operate on tabular feature ma...
By Brian Pondi, Jonas Hurst, Rolf Simoes, Jonas Starke, Marius Appel, Edzer Pebesma