The Value of System 1 Models in Medicine
Many clinical decisions are a choice among a few fixed options, taken quickly and in large numbers. Such decisions also need an uncertainty estimate to know when to defer to a clinician. Generative la...
The study evaluates four zero‑shot System 1 models on 86 public clinical tasks across 14 domains and 20 languages, measuring performance via AUROC. The best models achieved high AUROC scores—0.94 for medical knowledge, 0.93 for text understanding, 0.83 for clinical judgement from text, 0.89 for image perception, 0.84 for 2D image findings, and 0.69 for volumetric findings—yet performed worse on imaging tasks and varied significantly with language. System 1 models were fast (0.34–0.44 s) and energy‑efficient (24–81 J) but lagged behind clinicians on triage and were outperformed by generative models in some metrics.
Many clinical decisions are a choice among a few fixed options, taken quickly and in large numbers. Such decisions also need an uncertainty estimate to know when to defer to a clinician. Generative la...
The study evaluated the accuracy and calibration of several Decision and System One models on rheumatology specialty‑training exam questions and diagnostic vignettes. On the RheumaMIR exam dataset, Jev achieved 93.0% accuracy in Spanish and 91.9% in English, while GPT‑6 Sol reached 99.4%. On the RheumBench diagnostic vignettes, GPT‑6 Sol again led with 76.9% accuracy, with Jev and other System One models scoring significantly lower (50.0%–59.6%).
arXiv:2610.15239v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Most benchmarks for large language models in medicine are built from licensing examinations and theoretical questions. The few that draw on real clinic...
arXiv:2609.13238v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Maxillofacial report generation from cone beam computed tomography is scored here by a composite objective placing 80% of its weight on a large languag...
MedJev is an open System One model that answers medical questions in a single forward pass without generating text, enabling fast, local clinical decision support. Across ten medical benchmarks, MedJev achieves competitive accuracies—72.5 % on MedQA, 75.4 % on USMLE, and 80.1 % on NEJM—while maintaining well‑calibrated confidence estimates. On patient‑level tasks, it attains an AUROC of 0.926 for in‑hospital mortality, surpassing XGBoost, and introduces a lightweight two‑parameter recalibration method that reduces miscalibration from 0.286 to 0.007 using only 50–200 labeled examples.
arXiv:2610.32478v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Vision-language models used for decisions in histopathology rarely return calibrated probabilities over the candidates a user cares about. Decision-nat...
arXiv:2606. 15910v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: A vision-language model can answer a question about a chest radiograph or a pathology slide fluently and confidently while barely using the image, relying instead on language priors.
The study evaluated ten chest X‑ray AI classification models on 12 datasets from six countries, focusing on image‑level classification and measuring specificity at 95% sensitivity. MAVL and MedKLIP achieved the highest specificity (≈0.37) but still produced many false positives, with performance dropping on institutional cohorts compared to public benchmarks. No single model excelled across all findings, countries, or lesion types, highlighting limited generalisability.
The study evaluates four open language models (8–27 billion parameters) on the Spanish MIR residency exam, covering 1,552 questions across eight editions. The largest models could rank within the top 600–3,000 candidates and had 41–43 specialties still open, yet abstaining never improved performance because even low‑confidence answers were more often correct than the 25% break‑even threshold. Medical fine‑tuning lowered overconfidence but also reduced accuracy, did not improve the correlation between confidence and correctness, and removing or swapping the provided images did not affect accuracy.
arXiv:2606. 17710v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Medical vision-language models report strong chest radiograph accuracy, and this is increasingly read as evidence that they use the image.
OmniMed-Jev is a new medical multimodal model that represents each decision as a Choice, Noul, or Score over a runtime-supplied candidate set, returning a full probability distribution for each decision. By unifying diverse imaging modalities and prediction tasks into a single candidate-conditioned probability model, it makes heterogeneous outputs comparable probabilities rather than task-specific strings. In controlled comparisons against a generative baseline, OmniMed-Jev’s reported probabilities align more closely with observed correctness, reducing calibration error by up to an order of magnitude and reliability error by up to two, while maintaining comparable point-prediction performance.
The paper introduces Clinical System One (CS1), a 4‑billion‑parameter decision model that rapidly produces typed judgments from clinical records. Trained on 12.4 million Q&A pairs from 3.6 million patients, CS1 can answer multiple questions in a single forward pass, providing probability estimates for uncertain cases. In evaluations on 963,408 held‑out patients and 21 external datasets, CS1 outperformed larger open models and, when paired with a language‑model agent, efficiently identified trial‑eligible patients with far fewer tokens.