DynSHAP is a SHAP-based framework designed for dynamic survival analysis, extending marginal SHAP estimators to handle time–feature pairs as players in the Shapley game. It introduces Temporal DynSHAP, which models linear dependencies across time and uses conditional sampling to improve explanations. Experiments on synthetic data and two real-world clinical datasets show that Temporal DynSHAP more accurately recovers temporally dependent features and provides faithful attributions for two DSA architectures, enabling medical experts to identify which patient information influenced predictions and when.
arXiv:2608. 00271v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A wide range of statistical and machine learning methods have been proposed for survival analysis with competing risks, where the occurrence of one event (i.
arXiv:2608. 10969v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Healthcare data, such as Intensive Care Unit (ICU) records, comprise heterogeneous multivariate time series sampled at irregular intervals with pervasive missingness.
arXiv:2605. 30119v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Survival analysis concerns the task of predicting the time until an event occurs.
arXiv:2608.29301v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Predicting future organ dysfunction in Intensive Care Unit (ICU) patients is critical for early clinical intervention, yet existing machine learning ap...
arXiv:2607. 09165v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Achieving early and timely diagnosis and treatment for disease is a major challenge.
arXiv:2606. 04564v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Tabular foundation models (TFMs) have made rapid progress in standard classification and regression, but time-to-event survival prediction tasks have remained largely untouched.
arXiv:2607. 06163v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Foundation Models for Electronic Health Records (FEMRs) are pretrained on large-scale structured patient data, enabling them to convert longitudinal patient trajectories into generalizable representations for diverse clinical prediction tasks.
Predictive process monitoring supports the optimization and control of operational business processes by forecasting the future state or outcome of ongoing cases. While deep neural networks have achieved strong performance for these tasks by modeling sequential dependencies in event logs, their black-box nature limits trust and practical adoption.
We investigate whether information about time-to-event risk estimated by a Cox proportional hazards model can be transferred into a generative large language model. We propose a text-based survival modelling pipeline in which structured clinical covariates are converted into text prompts and a Qwen-based large language model is fine-tuned to generate patient-specific survival risk using Cox model predictions as a training target.
arXiv:2609.38181v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Survival analysis estimates time-to-event outcomes from patient covariates and is widely used for medical risk assessment. Patients seeking prognostic...
arXiv:2607. 17783v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Predictive process monitoring supports the optimization and control of operational business processes by forecasting the future state or outcome of ongoing cases.
The paper introduces Adaptive Derivative-Ordered Random Explanation (ADORE), a unified framework that uses first- and second-order derivatives to capture nonlinear feature interactions and feature-sample dynamics. ADORE combines global feature importance with local sample contributions, quantifying both magnitude and direction of feature impact while identifying critical samples. It achieves computational efficiency via randomized SVD and dynamic sparsity detection, outperforming LIME and SHAP across tabular, text, and image data, and is released as an open-source Python package on GitHub.