arXiv Machine Learning By Seongjin Choi

How Much Velocity Does Off-Ball Space Value Need? A Broadcast-Viewport Benchmark

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The paper investigates how different velocity regimes affect broadcast‑viewport basketball analytics. Using a calibrated off‑screen imputation protocol, it compares four velocity settings—none, viewport‑legal observed, true‑for‑visible, and true‑for‑all—against a velocity‑aware ground truth across three analytical layers. Results show that velocity is largely useless for imputation, modestly useful for the control surface, and minimally useful for final team verdicts, with the visible channel providing the most benefit.

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arXiv AI
Aug 19

Validated Adaptation for Aerial Crowd Monitoring at Mass Gathering Scale: A Deployment Protocol, a Severity Law, and a Diagnostic for Label-Free Drone Crowd Counting, Toward the FIFA World Cup 2034 (Saudi Arabia)

The paper presents a validated protocol for adapting drone‑based crowd‑counting models to the extreme conditions expected at the 2034 FIFA World Cup in Saudi Arabia. Using 525 controlled runs and a full‑resolution corpus, the authors demonstrate that label‑free adaptation can recover 31‑49% of shift‑induced error across multiple corruptions and severities, achieving a 41.8 MAE improvement over a frozen source model. They also introduce a severity law, a stability budget, and a flux‑based risk module that detects real congestion episodes, culminating in a six‑point deployment protocol for safe aerial crowd monitoring.

By AlAnoud AllGhayth, AlJawharh AlOtaibi, Jude AlSubaie