arXiv AI

CausalGame: Benchmarking Causal Thinking of LLM Agents in Games

arXiv:2607. 04293v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Building AI Scientist agents with Large Language Models (LLMs) has recently attracted growing attention.

arXiv AI
Aug 11

TempoBench: Reasoning Execution Without Causal Attribution Is Just Simulation

arXiv:2510. 27544v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Current training paradigms, optimized for long-horizon reasoning trace execution, have made Large Language Models (LLMs) excel at pattern matching and forward simulation of reasoning, but underperform at counterfactual causal understanding and reasoning.

By Nikolaus Holzer, William Fishell, Baishakhi Ray, Mark Santolucito
arXiv AI
Jul 14

FIRE-Bench: Evaluating AI Agents on the Rediscovery of Scientific Insights

arXiv:2602. 02905v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Autonomous agents powered by large language models (LLMs) promise to accelerate scientific discovery end-to-end, but rigorously evaluating their capacity for verifiable discovery remains a central challenge.

By Zhen Wang, Fan Bai, Zhongyan Luo, Jinyan Su, Kaiser Sun, Xinle Yu, Jieyuan Liu, Kun Zhou, Claire Cardie, Mark Dredze, Zhiting Hu, Eric P. Xing
arXiv AI
Jun 11

Can AI Agents Synthesize Scientific Conclusions?

arXiv:2606. 11337v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Scientific AI agents increasingly retrieve evidence, reason across sources, and synthesize conclusions used in consequential decisions.

By Hayoung Jung, Pedro Viana Diniz, Jos\'e Reinaldo Corr\^ea Roveda, Abner Fernandes da Silva, Haeun Jung, Enoch Tsai, Aleksandra Korolova, Manoel Horta Ribeiro
arXiv AI
Aug 10

Toward a Causal Data Management Ecosystem for Decision Making and Agentic AI

arXiv:2608. 07214v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Modern AI is no longer a single model but an ecosystem: classical ML predictors, deep and multimodal models, large language models, and agents, each trained and tuned over different data sources and each producing outputs at scale that become inputs to the others.

By Dazhuo Qiu, Yingli Zhou, Amedeo Pachera, Angela Bonifati, Andrea Mauri
arXiv AI
Jun 3

CauTion: Knowing When to Trust LLMs for Ensemble Causal Discovery

arXiv:2606. 03602v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery from observational data remains challenging due to the fundamental limitations of purely statistical methods, such as statistical distinguishability within equivalence classes and sensitivity to finite sample sizes.

By Bo Peng, Kaiwen Wu, Sirui Chen, Zhiheng Wang, Yu Qiao, Chaochao Lu