The paper proposes an event-based approach to predict transitions into vineyard disease‑risk periods within a 3–7 day window, rather than daily disease status. It defines events only after a minimum disease‑free gap to reduce label fragmentation and uses multi‑year agro‑meteorological data to capture humidity, rainfall, temperature, and seasonal patterns. Experiments with XGBoost, LSTM, and TCN models show that this formulation improves short‑horizon warning, highlighting trade‑offs among recall, lead time, and false alerts.
By Ivica Dimitrovski, Ivan Kitanovski, Danco Davcev, Slobodan Kalajdziski, Kosta Mitreski
The paper presents a Vision Transformer-based model for subseasonal soil‑moisture forecasting over Europe, showing that forecast skill depends heavily on how the prediction problem is formulated. By using residual learning and forecasting root‑zone soil moisture in physical units, the model outperforms persistence and existing deep‑learning and ECMWF baselines, providing well‑calibrated probabilistic predictions. However, predicting flash drought onset—defined by rapid multi‑pentad intensification—remains a challenge shared by all current subseasonal‑to‑seasonal systems.
By Noelia Otero, Atahan \"Ozer, Miguel-\'Angel Fern\'andez-Torres, Jackie Ma
AgroBench is a reproducible benchmark that converts U.S. county-level crop yield statistics into weakly supervised pixel‑level crop time series. The data generation pipeline fuses USDA yield data with land cover masks, Sentinel‑2 and Sentinel‑1 imagery, climatic variables, and terrain information to produce multimodal sequences for individual crop pixels across the growing season. The benchmark includes over 13 million observations from 788,654 crop pixels, covering 5,107 county‑year combinations for five major U.S. crops from 2017 to 2024, and establishes a Leave‑One‑Year‑Out evaluation protocol with baseline machine learning results.
By Udaiveer Singh, Rajiv Ranjan, Shashank Tamaskar, Dharmendra Saraswat
arXiv:2606. 18316v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Soil Moisture (SM) modelling constitutes a complex spatiotemporal learning problem characterised by nonlinear environmental interactions, heterogeneous data sources, and limited ground observations.
By Ilektra Tsimpidi, George Georgoulas, Vidya Sumathy, George Nikolakopoulos
The study evaluates crop‑yield forecasting methods for the 2012 Midwestern US drought, comparing non‑deep learning machine learning models with a deep learning model (VITA) using 16 meteorological predictors. It highlights challenges such as distributional dissimilarity between training and test data, spatial and temporal sparsity, and demonstrates that sample weighting and feature selection improve non‑deep learning models but not VITA. The work contrasts deep versus non‑deep learning approaches and shows how modifications can mitigate issues arising from extreme drought conditions.
By Shrey Gupta, Yi Ming, George Mohler
The paper introduces a lightweight deep learning framework that forecasts Brazilian soybean yields using only routine weather data and two simple static inputs (crop year and agro-environmental label). Across 20 seasons, transformer-based models achieved the highest accuracy, outperforming traditional ridge regression and a moving‑average baseline by nearly 48%. Ablation studies show that the static inputs and spatial expansion improve performance without adding complexity, and SHAP analysis highlights the importance of crop year and weather variables in driving yield variations.
By Fernando Dupin da Cunha Mello (Stricto Sensu Department, SENAI CIMATEC University, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil), Prashant Kumar (Global Centre for Clean Air Research), Erick G. Sperandio Nascimento (Stricto Sensu Department, SENAI CIMATEC University, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil)
arXiv:2608. 10233v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Groundwater variability in Ghana remains poorly characterized due to limited long-term in-situ observations.
By George Yamoah Afrifa, Theophilus Ansah-Narh, Marcellin Atemkeng
arXiv:2607. 12454v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection (MTSAD) is essential for reliability and safety in domains such as industrial process monitoring and financial risk management, yet conventional approaches rely on application-specific models that are costly to train and hard to scale.
By Martin Uray, Saverio Messineo, Roland Kwitt, Stefan Huber
arXiv:2606. 05731v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In-season crop type mapping is critical for food security in the face of increasingly extreme climate-related threats to crops.
By August Posch, Jitendra Kumar, Forrest M. Hoffman, Auroop R. Ganguly
The study presents a deployment‑aware framework for forecasting spring discharge and groundwater levels in the Edwards Aquifer over 1‑12 week horizons using 79 years of hydroclimatic data. Five machine‑learning families—extreme gradient boosting, extremely randomized trees, LSTM, CNN, and Transformers—were compared, with extreme gradient boosting consistently delivering the highest reliability (R² ≥ 0.94) and strong agreement with operational drought thresholds. The validated models were integrated into a five‑agent operational architecture that automates data acquisition, model selection, prediction, threshold monitoring, verification, literature retrieval, and reporting.
By Pramod Lekhak, Chetan Sharma, Hakan Ba\c{s}a\u{g}ao\u{g}lu, F. Paul Bertetti, Debaditya Chakraborty
arXiv:2610.07087v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Despite rapid advances in artificial intelligence, reliable real-world plant disease detection remains a persistent challenge. Visual and deep learning...
By Aamir Hilal, Shabir Ahmad Sofi, Neeraj Goel
arXiv:2602. 13807v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time series anomaly detection is critical in many real-world applications, where effective solutions must localize anomalous regions and support reliable decision-making under complex settings.
By Xiaoyu Tao, Yuchong Wu, Mingyue Cheng, Ze Guo, Tian Gao