Real-Time Driver Safety Scoring Through Inverse Crash Probability Modeling
arXiv:2603. 14841v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Road crashes remain a leading cause of preventable fatalities.
PRISM (Proactive Risk Intelligence and Safety Management) is an agentic multi-model architecture designed to shift autonomous transportation safety from reactive crash avoidance to proactive, continuous risk management. It uses inverse crash‑probability modeling to transform binary crash classifiers into dynamic safety scores, and runs three specialized models—trajectory kinematics, environmental risk, and VRU interaction—coordinated by a reinforcement‑learning reasoning layer. Across 1,296 naturalistic driving scenarios, PRISM achieved a mean safety score of 68/100, classified 77.6% of situations as advisory, and flagged 3.8% as near‑misses, with 11% requiring intervention or emergency response, highlighting trajectory risk and VRU proximity as key safety factors.
arXiv:2603. 14841v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Road crashes remain a leading cause of preventable fatalities.
arXiv:2607. 07103v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Safe autonomous driving requires both rapid responses to common high-risk events and deeper reasoning over rare, extreme long-tail scenarios in traffic safety.
Safe autonomous driving requires both rapid responses to common high-risk events and deeper reasoning over rare, extreme long-tail scenarios in traffic safety. These scenarios are severely under-represented in naturalistic driving data, and existing trajectory and language-augmented datasets seldom provide high-risk event labels, semantic annotations, and verifiable safety signals.
arXiv:2607. 11128v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Real-time driving risk assessment provides an essential basis for proactive safety by identifying and quantifying the danger of ongoing road interactions before adverse outcomes occur.
arXiv:2606. 29115v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Autonomous vehicles (AVs) are increasingly deployed in urban environments, yet their safety frameworks remain primarily designed around collision avoidance and minimal risk condition (MRC) behaviors such as slowing or stopping when uncertainty arises.
arXiv:2511. 14592v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Vision-Language Models (VLMs) show great promise for autonomous driving, but their suitability for safety-critical scenarios is largely unexplored, raising safety concerns.
arXiv:2510. 03314v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Ensuring the safety of vulnerable road users (VRUs), such as pedestrians and cyclists, remains a critical challenge, as conventional infrastructure-based measures are often insufficient in dynamic urban environments.
arXiv:2606. 00857v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate and reliable vehicle trajectory prediction is essential for safe autonomous driving.
The paper introduces WM‑RMoE, a World Model‑based Risk‑aware Mixture‑of‑Experts framework for autonomous overtaking. It uses a learned latent dynamics model to perform multi‑step rollouts, evaluating cumulative risk at the trajectory level, and employs a hierarchical gating mechanism to coordinate long‑, short‑horizon, and rule‑based safety experts. A Gaussian Mixture Model preserves multimodal maneuver branches, improving robustness and preventing behavioral averaging, leading to better safety compliance, decision stability, and generalization in experiments.
CrashDiffuser is a closed-loop VLM‑guided diffusion framework designed for fine‑grained safety‑critical traffic scenario generation. It separates semantic collision reasoning from trajectory synthesis via a hierarchical collision‑intent interface that specifies target contact regions (head, rear, or side). The system uses a vision‑language model to extract scene context and predict structured action tuples, which condition a diffusion model to produce executable adversarial trajectories, achieving high target‑collision and contact‑region control rates on WOMD‑derived scenarios.
arXiv:2603. 18315v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Traditional reinforcement learning (RL) methods rely on manually engineered rewards or sparse collision signals, which fail to capture the rich contextual understanding required for safe driving and make unsafe exploration unavoidable in real-world settings.
arXiv:2607. 16156v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Urban intersections are among the most hazardous locations in road networks, posing significant risks to vehicles and vulnerable road users (VRUs) such as pedestrians and cyclists.