arXiv Machine Learning

Digital Twins for Opinion Dynamics: A Generative LLM Framework for Social Networks

The paper introduces a digital‑twin framework that simulates opinion dynamics in real Twitter networks by assigning agents attributes such as persona, emotions, centrality, stubbornness, and influence, and using Mistral‑7B to update opinions based on memory and social exposure. Validation on COVID‑19 and U.S. election 2020 datasets shows the framework reproduces opinion trajectories, reducing prediction error by over 50% compared to classical baselines, and improves structural alignment and polarization dynamics. Ablation studies reveal that agent attributes, memory, and social exposure all contribute to predictive fidelity, with agent attributes being the most critical.

arXiv AI
Oct 19

Validating LLM-generated political networks with survey-reported partisan exposure

The study evaluates large language models (LLMs) that generate political networks by comparing them to survey-reported partisan exposure from the ANES 2020–2022 Social Media Study. It finds that while network structure and political assortativity vary across model configurations, many models either over‑separate Democratic and Republican egos or underestimate Republican exposure, leading to group‑specific errors in local partisan environments. These discrepancies persist even among networks with similar aggregate properties, indicating that aggregate metrics alone can mask important individual‑level inaccuracies.

By Marco Tonin, Michele Tizzoni, Bruno Lepri, Luca Maria Aiello
arXiv Computation and Language
Sep 17

Do Social Patterns Hold in Synthetic Data? Analyzing Cyberbullying Dynamics in LLM-Generated and Authentic Dialogues

The paper investigates whether large language models (LLMs) can generate synthetic cyberbullying conversations that replicate the social dynamics of real interactions. Using a comprehensive framework, the authors compare authentic dialogues with synthetic ones from GPT, Grok, and LLaMA across structural, linguistic, affective, and temporal dimensions, and conduct human evaluations of realism. Results show that while LLMs preserve high‑level interaction patterns, they systematically distort finer‑grained social phenomena, with model‑specific biases such as GPT’s suppression of harmful content and Grok’s amplification of aggression.

By Arefeh Kazemi, Hamza Qadeer, Sinan Asci, Joachim Wagner, Brian Davis
arXiv AI
Sep 30

Illusory Truth or Mere Exposure? Model-Dependent Repetition Effects in LLM-Based Social Media Simulations

The study examines how four large language models (Gemma-3-4b-it, Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct, Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct, and GPT-5-nano) exhibit repetition effects in a social media simulation. Using a two‑phase within‑context design, researchers collected 336,000 ratings on truth, importance, sentiment, and interest for 100 statements across 10 feed variants and 3 replications. Results show distinct patterns: Gemma-3 displays a genuine Illusory Truth Effect, Qwen2.5 shows a mere exposure effect, GPT-5-nano shows no truth boost and mild skepticism, and Llama-3.1 shows a small truth boost with reduced evaluative dimensions.

By Azza Bouleimen, Nicol\`o Pagan, Anik\'o Hann\'ak
arXiv AI
Oct 15

ThreadBench: Benchmarking Realism in Agentic Simulation of Real-world Discussions

ThreadBench is a benchmark that evaluates how well large language model (LLM) agents simulate real-world Reddit discussions, using 9,817 real threads across 8 domains and 116 subdomains. It compares generated and real threads on 12 metrics grouped into uniformity, expression, tone, and interaction. The authors also introduce Thread-Prompt-based Discussion Generation (ThreadPDG), a Planner-Writer framework that learns thread growth from real seeds and achieves high pass rates on ThreadBench, outperforming baseline methods and matching real discussions in 78.7% of human evaluations.

By Yaoning Yu, Ye Yu, John Sciarappo, Haojing Luo, Kai-min Chang, Yi-Chia Wang, Haohan Wang
arXiv AI
Aug 11

Knowing You Is Everything: LLM Agents Achieve Near-Perfect Profile-Consistent Reaction Prediction in Social Media Simulation

arXiv:2608. 07498v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Autonomous AI agents in social media present concrete risks to democratic discourse and platform governance, while also offering tools for pre-deployment recommender system testing.

By Ljubisa Bojic, Ljiljana Matic, Joerg Matthes, Milan Cabarkapa, Bojana Dinic, Jue Wang