arXiv Machine Learning

Dimension-Free PAC-Bayes Generalization for Deep Neural Networks via Dirichlet Processes

The paper introduces a dimension‑free PAC‑Bayes generalization bound for deep neural networks by placing the prior over the non‑parametric space of data distributions using a Dirichlet Process. This shift eliminates the dependence on the number of network parameters, yielding a bound that remains non‑vacuous even for over‑parameterized models. Experiments on MNIST with up to 4.2 million parameters show the new bound staying stable at 8.8 %–9.4 %, whereas classical weight‑space bounds become vacuous.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 21

Sparse Priors for Efficient Distribution Learning

arXiv:2609. 20883v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Despite the widespread use and success of generative AI techniques today, theoretical guarantees on learning a distribution supported in $d$ dimensions from $n$ samples degrade as $O(n^{-1/\Theta(d)})$, though shown to be minimax optimal.

By Saumya Goyal, Barnab\'as P\'oczos
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 23

Practical Scaling Laws: Converting Compute into Performance in a Data-Constrained World

The paper introduces a new closed‑form scaling law that extends Chinchilla’s original formula to handle data‑constrained regimes. It decomposes loss into undercapacity, undertraining, and overfitting components, saturating between an irreducible loss and an uninformed baseline. The authors validate the model on diverse architectures and domains, achieving state‑of‑the‑art RMSE across multiple LLM scaling‑law grids and enabling cost‑aware training allocations.

By Christopher M. Bryant, Hao Liu
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 12

Optimistic Rates for Multiclass PAC Learning

arXiv:2608. 10869v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Worst-case multiclass bounds do not become smaller when the best classifier is already nearly correct: what is missing is an optimistic rate, a guarantee whose fluctuation scales with the oracle risk itself.

By Xiaoyu Li, Andi Han, Jiaojiao Jiang, Junbin Gao
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 22

Approximate Solomonoff Induction: On the Robustness of Learned Universal Predictors

The paper investigates how well practical machine‑learning algorithms approximate Solomonoff’s universal predictor when trained by minimizing log‑loss over diverse datasets. It establishes tight bounds on the worst‑case increase in prediction error caused by approximating the Bayesian mixture predictor, showing that while the excess error can be large in low‑prior environments, it remains bounded on average and under distribution shifts. The authors also extend their analysis to finite‑sample settings relevant to neural networks and Transformers.

By Qian Li, Shang-Hua Teng