arXiv:2608. 08662v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The single-selection prophet inequality is a canonical Bayesian online selection problem in which independent nonnegative values arrive sequentially and the decision-maker must irrevocably select at most one.
By Patrick Loiseau, Mathieu Molina, Vianney Perchet, Sebastian Perez-Salazar, Victor Verdugo
arXiv:2606. 07325v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study the minimax rate of estimating a future value $\mu_{t_n+h}$ of a curve $t\mapsto\mu_t$ in the $2$-Wasserstein space $\mathcal{P}_2(\mathbb{R}^d)$ from finitely many noisy snapshots of its past, under an adiabatic bound $\|\nabla_t^k v\|\le\varepsilon$ on the $k$-th covariant derivative of the velocity field.
By Munsik Kim
arXiv:2605. 15806v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Neural operators excel as deterministic surrogates, but inevitably collapse to the conditional mean when applied to stochastic PDEs, discarding the variance and tail structure upon which uncertainty quantification depends.
By Kai Hidajat
arXiv:2606. 08218v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Compositional priors describe the generic properties of layered functions in deep Bayesian models, where deep neural networks with random weights are a canonical example.
By Mark Kozdoba, Shie Mannor
arXiv:2004. 05813v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Suppose that we are given independent, identically distributed random samples $x_1,\cdots,x_n$ from a mixture at most $k$ many $d$-dimensional spherical Gaussian distributions $\mu_1,\cdots,\mu_{k_0}$ of identical and known variance $\sigma^2$ in each coordinate, such that the minimum $\ell^2$ distance between two distinct centers $y_l$ and $y_j$ is greater than $2\Delta\sigma \min\{\sqrt{d},\sqrt k\}$, where $\Delta>C_0$, and $C_0$ is a sufficiently large universal constant.
By Somnath Chakraborty, Hariharan Narayanan
arXiv:2607. 29245v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study the expected improvement (EI) policy for minimizing a deterministic objective function $f$ on a nonempty compact set $\mathcal X \subset\mathbb R^d$.
By Emmanuel Vazquez, S\'ebastien Petit