arXiv:2606. 25769v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In many prediction problems in medical applications, target labels exhibit an inherent ordinal structure, where class ordering reflects clinically meaningful severity levels.
By Tal Dvora, Rotem Haba, Gonen Singer
arXiv:2601. 21455v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Conformal prediction(CP) has become a cornerstone of distribution-free uncertainty quantification, conventionally evaluated by its coverage and interval length.
By Yizhou Min, Yizhou Lu, Lanqi Li, Zhen Zhang, Jiaye Teng
arXiv:2606. 14909v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We consider the problem of uncertainty quantification for a pretrained classification model deployed under unknown distribution shift.
By Yanfei Zhou, Rizal Fathony, Nam H. Nguyen, Matteo Sesia
arXiv:2606. 28598v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Prediction sets should have high coverage to be useful, but some coverage notions are more practically relevant than others.
By Aabesh Bhattacharyya, Tiffany Ding, Rina Foygel Barber
arXiv:2505. 23437v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Ranking systems influence decision-making in high-stakes domains like health, education, and employment, where they can have substantial economic and social impacts.
By Antonio Ferrara, Andrea Pugnana, Francesco Bonchi, Salvatore Ruggieri
arXiv:2607. 21003v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Ordinal Classification (OC) deals with classification tasks where the classes follow a natural order.
By Rafael Ayll\'on-Gavil\'an, Francisco Jos\'e Mart\'inez-Estudillo, David Guijo-Rubio, C\'esar Herv\'as-Mart\'inez, Pedro A. Guti\'errez
arXiv:2607. 16675v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A point prediction that is well calibrated on average can still be systematically biased conditional on its own value, undermining its use in downstream decision-making.
By Daniel Bensimon, Sean Xiang Yu, Eric D. Kolaczyk, Archer Y. Yang
arXiv:2605. 20468v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Effective medication management in Parkinson's Disease (PD) is challenging due to heterogeneous disease progression, variable patient response, and medication side effects.
By Ricardo Diaz-Rincon, Muxuan Liang, Adolfo Ramirez-Zamora, Benjamin Shickel
arXiv:2607. 27143v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: High-stakes decision systems in credit scoring, fraud detection, healthcare, and industrial safety require reliable uncertainty quantification under severe class imbalance and asymmetric error costs.
By Manpreet Singh, Akshatha Srikantha, Shyamal Lakhanpal
arXiv:2602. 01733v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Conformal Prediction (CP) provides a statistical framework for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets with coverage guarantees.
By Junxian Liu, Hao Zeng, Hongxin Wei
arXiv:2608. 04652v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Image mixup is a widely adopted data augmentation strategy, yet it is ill-suited for ordinal classification tasks such as medical disease grading, where labels encode a progression of severity.
By Dileepa Pitawela, Gustavo Carneiro, Hsiang-Ting Chen
arXiv:2607. 11128v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Real-time driving risk assessment provides an essential basis for proactive safety by identifying and quantifying the danger of ongoing road interactions before adverse outcomes occur.
By Zhuoren Li, Yi Zhong, Weiqi Zhang, Xinrui Zhang, Lu Xiong, Chongfeng Wei, Bo Leng