arXiv:2603. 02159v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Instrumental variable (IV) and proximal causal learning (Proxy) methods are central frameworks for causal inference in the presence of unobserved confounding.
By Yuqi Zhang, Krikamol Muandet, Dino Sejdinovic, Edwin Fong, Siu Lun Chau
arXiv:2606. 23741v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal reasoning, which encompasses the discovery of causal structures and the inference of causal effects, is fundamental to data-driven decision making.
By Xianjie Guo, Yuwei Wang, Guodu Xiang, Xiaoli Tang, Kui Yu, Han Yu, Qiang Yang
arXiv:2607. 22313v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Estimating contemporaneous bidirectional interactions from observational data is difficult because each outcome is endogenous to the other, while flexible regressions may capture only reduced-form dependence.
By Masahiro Tanaka
arXiv:2606. 03227v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal discovery with instantaneous effects in multivariate time series is challenging, as the instantaneous structure must be acyclic.
By Tong Zhao, Ce Guo, Wayne Luk, Emil Lupu, Ray Dipojjwal
arXiv:2608. 13461v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Post-click conversion rate (CVR) is a key metric in various scenarios including e-commerce and advertising, reflecting the efficiency and user experience in the second stage of the conversion process.
By Jiayi Dan, Bo Li, Lu Deng, Yong Wang
arXiv:2105. 09254v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: In many applications, researchers are interested in the direct and indirect causal effects of a treatment or exposure on an outcome of interest.
By Yizhen Xu, AmirEmad Ghassami, Numair Sani, Ilya Shpitser
arXiv:2607. 10540v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We propose a two-stage estimator for structural mediation parameters that combines deep representation learning with G-estimation under the "no essential heterogeneity" (NEH) assumption.
By Roberto Faleh, Sofia Morelli, Holger Brandt
arXiv:2606. 01457v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Bayesian optimization is a popular way to optimize expensive systems, where every experiment, simulation, or intervention costs time or money.
By Mohammad Ali Javidian
Discovering the direct causes and effects of a target variable from observational data is a fundamental problem in causal discovery, with broad applications in domains such as gene regulatory analysis and biomedical research. Existing causal discovery methods either learn a global causal structure, which incurs substantial computational cost, or assume the absence of latent variables and selection bias, assumptions that are often violated in real-world settings.
arXiv:2607. 19866v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Discovering the direct causes and effects of a target variable from observational data is a fundamental problem in causal discovery, with broad applications in domains such as gene regulatory analysis and biomedical research.
By Zheng Li, Hao Zhang, Ruxin Wang, Ruichu Cai, Kun Zhang, Feng Xie
arXiv:2602. 14972v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Estimating causal quantities traditionally relies on bespoke estimators tailored to specific assumptions.
By Arik Reuter, Anish Dhir, Cristiana Diaconu, Jake Robertson, Ole Ossen, Frank Hutter, Adrian Weller, Mark van der Wilk, Bernhard Sch\"olkopf
arXiv:2410. 14483v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Reliable uncertainty quantification for causal effects is crucial in high-stakes applications, but remains challenging when the target is an entire function rather than a scalar estimand.
By Hugh Dance, Peter Orbanz, Arthur Gretton