arXiv Machine Learning By Tong Zhao, Ce Guo, Wayne Luk, Emil Lupu, Ray Dipojjwal

Learning Temporal Causal Structure via Smooth Differentiable Optimization

Read the original on arXiv Machine Learning →

arXiv:2606. 03227v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal discovery with instantaneous effects in multivariate time series is challenging, as the instantaneous structure must be acyclic.

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arXiv Machine Learning
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Large Causal Models for Temporal Causal Discovery

arXiv:2602. 18662v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Causal discovery for both cross-sectional and temporal data has traditionally followed a dataset-specific paradigm, where a new model is fitted for each individual dataset.

By Nikolaos Kougioulis, Nikolaos Gkorgkolis, MingXue Wang, Bora Caglayan, Dario Simionato, Andrea Tonon, Ioannis Tsamardinos
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Learning Causal Structure of Time Series using Best Order Score Search

The paper introduces TS‑BOSS, a time‑series extension of the Best Order Score Search (BOSS) algorithm for causal structure learning. TS‑BOSS conducts a permutation‑based search over dynamic Bayesian network structures, using grow‑shrink trees to cache intermediate score computations, thereby maintaining scalability and strong empirical performance. The authors provide theoretical guarantees of soundness under suitable assumptions and demonstrate that TS‑BOSS achieves higher adjacency recall than standard constraint‑based methods, especially in high auto‑correlation regimes.

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arXiv Machine Learning
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DAG-FM: A Foundation Model for Causal Discovery under Heterogeneous Causal Mechanisms

arXiv:2607. 11510v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal discovery from observational tabular data remains fundamentally challenging, primarily due to the heterogeneity of underlying causal mechanisms and the high-dimensional combinatorial search space of Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs).

By Yikang Chen, Zhengkang Guan, Haoyuan Qian, Peng Cui, Yi Yang, Kun Kuang
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 5

From Causal Discovery to Dynamic Causal Inference in Neural Time Series

arXiv:2603. 20980v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time-varying causal models provide a powerful framework for studying dynamic scientific systems, yet most existing approaches assume that the underlying causal network is known a priori - an assumption rarely satisfied in real-world domains where causal structure is uncertain, evolving, or only indirectly observable.

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