arXiv:2606. 04324v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: One of the primary challenges in Bayesian inference on the parameters of a diffusion model from discrete observations is the unavailability of an analytical expression for the transition density function between consecutive observation times, which is needed to derive the likelihood function.
One of the primary challenges in Bayesian inference on the parameters of a diffusion model from discrete observations is the unavailability of an analytical expression for the transition density function between consecutive observation times, which is needed to derive the likelihood function. Extending previous studies that solve Fokker-Planck (FP) type partial differential equations with Normalizing Flows, we propose a new Normalizing Flow architecture to learn the transition density function of the diffusion process between two observation times.
The paper introduces block‑triangular joint drifting, a method that applies a projected drift field to the joint distribution of consecutive states, enabling one‑step generative surrogate models for stochastic transition dynamics. This architecture preserves the current‑state marginal while directly sampling the conditional distribution of next states, allowing stochastic trajectories to be generated with a single model evaluation per time step. Experiments show that the approach achieves accurate marginal and trajectory‑dependent statistics with favorable accuracy‑cost tradeoffs compared to deterministic, diffusion, flow, and distillation‑based generative surrogates.
arXiv:2603. 18907v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We propose a new Neural Galerkin Normalizing Flow framework to approximate the transition probability density function of a diffusion process by solving the corresponding Fokker-Planck equation with an atomic initial distribution, parametrically with respect to the location of the initial mass.
arXiv:2610.01786v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Neural activity often exhibits multiple timescales that can vary with behavioral states and task conditions. Identifying these timescales from neural...
arXiv:2606. 00309v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics combined with Gibbs updates (SGLD--Gibbs) provides a highly scalable approach to approximate Bayesian inference in latent variable models.
The paper introduces latent jump models (LJMs) for continuous-time latent state-space modeling, where the latent state evolves deterministically between Poisson-driven events and experiences learned instantaneous jumps at each event. It presents a tractable event-augmented ELBO and a novel Scan-Parallel Variational Inference (SPVI) method that samples the full latent event configuration before evaluating state recurrence, enabling logarithmic temporal depth and fast, scalable training. Experiments on synthetic and real irregular time series show that LJMs achieve competitive forecast accuracy with fewer latent updates and train one to two orders of magnitude faster than sequential baselines.
arXiv:2606. 16138v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Recovering dynamical systems from noisy observations is a recurring challenge across scientific domains, including neuroscience and physics.
arXiv:2504. 01894v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We present a bifidelity method for uncertainty quantification of parameter estimates in complex systems, leveraging generative models trained to sample the target conditional distribution.
The paper introduces a new Markov chain Monte Carlo method that samples from multimodal distributions by interpolating along the diffusion path of a noising diffusion process, preserving mode weights and improving mixing. It proposes a Metropolis-adjusted diffusion path (MAD-Path) sampler that corrects for bias from approximate score estimates and discretization errors, ensuring the target distribution remains invariant. Experiments on Bayesian posteriors demonstrate that MAD-Path outperforms tempering-based MCMC and unadjusted diffusion samplers in global exploration and accurate mode-weight estimation.
arXiv:2604. 23952v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Stochastic reduced-order models are widely used to represent the effective dynamics of complex systems, but estimating their drift and diffusion coefficients from data remains challenging.
arXiv:2608. 10384v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This paper studies inverse sampling for L\'evy-driven generative models from the perspective of Markov generators.