arXiv Machine Learning

Neural-Network Maxent: a general extension with learned nonlinearity, applied to time-series for Desert Locust distribution modelling

The paper introduces RNN Maxent, a new extension of the Maxent species distribution modelling framework that replaces its fixed linear feature dictionary with a neural network—specifically a Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU)—trained end‑to‑end via backpropagation. This approach retains Maxent’s presence‑only statistical foundations, background normalisation, and probability calibration while learning nonlinearity directly from data. Applied to Desert Locust distribution modelling using 50‑day environmental time‑series, RNN Maxent outperforms standard Maxent, achieving higher ROC AUC (0.862 vs. 0.792) and F1 scores (0.671 vs. 0.590).

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 19

Evaluating and improving crop-yield forecasting methods during extreme drought

The study evaluates crop‑yield forecasting methods for the 2012 Midwestern US drought, comparing non‑deep learning machine learning models with a deep learning model (VITA) using 16 meteorological predictors. It highlights challenges such as distributional dissimilarity between training and test data, spatial and temporal sparsity, and demonstrates that sample weighting and feature selection improve non‑deep learning models but not VITA. The work contrasts deep versus non‑deep learning approaches and shows how modifications can mitigate issues arising from extreme drought conditions.

By Shrey Gupta, Yi Ming, George Mohler
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 24

Reconstructing GRACE Terrestrial Water Storage with Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks: An Application to South America

arXiv:2606. 23833v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Terrestrial water storage (TWS) integrates snow, soil moisture, surface water, and groundwater and is a key indicator of how climate variability and human activity reshape the global water cycle.

By Lukas Arzoumanidis, Lara Johannsen, Klara Middendorf, Annette Eicker, Youness Dehbi
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 3

Global-Scale Self-Supervised Spatiotemporal Learning for NDVI Time-Series Reconstruction

Accurate and efficient reconstruction of cloud-contaminated and noise-corrupted NDVI time series remains a challenge in remote sensing. Deep learning provides a promising solution for modeling complex spatiotemporal dependencies; however, its application is often limited by the difficulty of obtaining paired clear-sky and degraded NDVI data for identical spatiotemporal locations.

arXiv Machine Learning
2d ago

Enhanced Agriculture-informed Neural Network by Domain Knowledge

The paper introduces KAINN, a hybrid neural‑mechanistic model that augments the Agriculture‑informed Neural Network with domain knowledge on fertilizer diffusion, soil respiration, and water‑filled porosity to predict nitrous oxide emissions from agriculture. Experiments across CNN, LSTM, and Transformer architectures show that KAINN achieves lower root mean square error, lower mean absolute error, and higher R-squared values compared to purely data‑driven models and the original AINN. The learned interfaces exhibit smoother, more physically consistent parameter trajectories with reduced uncertainty.

By Ci Lin, Futong Li, Rose Chong-Wu, Tet Yeap, Iluju Kiringa
arXiv Machine Learning
4d ago

IRENE: A Convolutional GRU Ensemble Model for Radar Precipitation Nowcasting over Italy

IRENE is a deep learning model that provides probabilistic short‑range precipitation nowcasts over Italy at 1 km spatial and 5‑minute temporal resolution. It uses an encoder–forecaster architecture built on multi‑scale Convolutional Gated Recurrent Units (ConvGRUs) and is trained on national radar composites, with an importance‑sampling scheme and the almost‑fair Continuous Ranked Probability Score as its primary loss. Three training variants—standard, adversarial (IRENE‑GAN), and spectrally constrained (IRENE‑GAN‑RAPSD)—outperform benchmark methods STEPS and DGMR in probabilistic skill, though the advantage in mean absolute error is limited to the first 90 minutes.

By Alessandro Camilletti, Gabriele Franch, Elena Tomasi, Marco Cristoforetti