arXiv Machine Learning

CROCS: A Two-Stage Clustering Framework for Behaviour-Centric Consumer Segmentation with Smart Meter Data

arXiv:2601. 10494v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: With grid operators confronting rising uncertainty from renewable integration and a broader push toward electrification, Demand-Side Management (DSM) -- particularly Demand Response (DR) -- has attracted significant attention as a cost-effective mechanism for balancing modern electricity systems.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 25

Uncovering Residential PV-EV Co-Adoption from Smart-Meter Data: Load Archetypes and Detection for Demand-Side Planning

The paper presents a two-part workflow for analyzing smart‑meter data to uncover patterns of residential co‑adoption of photovoltaic (PV) systems and electric vehicles (EVs). First, dynamic time warping k‑means clustering identifies distinct daily import/export archetypes for PV‑only, EV‑only, co‑adopters, and neither groups, revealing a midday‑centered export pattern for many co‑adopters. Second, a bidirectional LSTM model trained on 21‑day windows achieves high detection performance (AUROC 0.991, macro‑F1 0.906) for PV/EV activity, outperforming tabular baselines and remaining robust across labeling rules and temporal splits.

By Jack Zheng, Hao Wang
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 11

LoaDiff: Conditional Generation of Electricity Consumption Time Series for Energy Analytics

LoaDiff is a diffusion-based generative model that produces year-long, sub-hourly smart‑meter electricity consumption time series. It can be conditioned on static household attributes like appliance ownership and dynamic factors such as calendar dates and outdoor temperature. Evaluations on three residential datasets show that LoaDiff generates realistic, diverse load profiles, limits memorization, retains useful information for downstream tasks, and responds coherently to conditioning changes.

By Mariia Baranova, Adrien Petralia, Etienne Le Naour, Nathan Etourneau, Guillaume Hofmann, Themis Palpanas
arXiv AI
2d ago

Questionnaire-Guided Disaggregation of Energy Appliance Use for Domestic Smart Meter Data

Ireland’s smart metering programme records electricity use at 30‑minute intervals, which is too coarse to capture domestic appliance use. The authors present a label‑free disaggregation system that splits usage data into nine appliance categories by combining event detection for high‑power loads with questionnaire‑guided estimation. Evaluated on four datasets—including a large Irish smart‑meter dataset of over 4,800 years of use—the hybrid method achieves the lowest whole‑decomposition error and better month‑level performance than two independently developed systems.

By Achal Nanjundamurthy, Rupam Misra, Suzanne Little, Alan F. Smeaton
arXiv AI
Sep 17

Calendar-Structured Sparse Principal Component Analysis for Interpretable Multi-Periodic Electricity Consumption Profiles

Calendar-Structured Sparse Principal Component Analysis (Calendar-SPCA) is a new method that learns low-dimensional representations of long-term electricity consumption data by explicitly incorporating daily, weekly, and annual calendar cycles. It uses an L1 penalty and graph total variation to produce sparse, locally coherent, and directly interpretable latent factors. In experiments on the GoiEner and Low Carbon London smart‑meter datasets, Calendar-SPCA retains most of the variance of standard PCA while achieving high sparsity and clear calendar‑aligned structures.

By Carlos Quesada-Granja, Tony Castillo-Calzadilla, Carlos Rizo-Maestre
arXiv AI
Sep 4

Towards Affordable Energy: A Gymnasium Environment for Electric Utility Demand-Response Programs

The paper introduces DR‑Gym, an open‑source, Gymnasium‑compatible environment that simulates electric utility demand‑response programs at the market level. It uses a regime‑switching wholesale price model calibrated to real extreme events and physics‑based building demand profiles, providing a rich observational space and a configurable multi‑objective reward function for reinforcement learning. Baseline strategies and data snapshots demonstrate the simulator’s realism and learnability.

By Jose E. Aguilar Escamilla, Lingdong Zhou, Xiangqi Zhu, Huazheng Wang
arXiv AI
Jul 14

WattCouncil: Context-Aware Household Energy Scenario Generation With Governed LLMs

arXiv:2607. 10720v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The accelerating shift toward low-carbon power systems, together with the widespread adoption of behind-the-meter technologies such as rooftop solar and electric vehicles, is placing new operational and analytical demands on electricity grids.

By Mohannad Takrouri, Nicolas M. Cuadrado A., Martin Tak\'a\v{c}
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 22

Ask for Any Appliance: A Prompt-Programmable Foundation Model for Non-Intrusive Load Monitoring

The paper introduces FM4NILM, a prompt‑programmable foundation model that estimates the power usage of any requested appliance from whole‑home meter data, a natural‑language description, and optional activation examples. Trained on 645k sequences from seven public datasets, the lightweight transformer achieves competitive performance across twelve appliance requests, outperforming seven appliance‑specific baselines on key metrics such as event F1 and active‑window MAE. The model’s design allows new appliance coverage to be added via prompts and examples rather than building separate specialist networks.

By Xudong Wang, Jiacheng Cui, Junyu Xue, Tongxin Li, Guoming Tang