arXiv Machine Learning

Martingale Neural Operators: Learning Stochastic Marginals via Doob-Meyer Factorization

arXiv:2605. 15806v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Neural operators excel as deterministic surrogates, but inevitably collapse to the conditional mean when applied to stochastic PDEs, discarding the variance and tail structure upon which uncertainty quantification depends.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 2

TRIE: An Evaluation Framework for Stochastic PDE Surrogates

arXiv:2607. 00196v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Many scientific systems exhibit uncertainty from stochastic forcing, unresolved degrees of freedom, or imperfect observations, making reliable surrogate forecasting fundamentally distributional rather than pointwise.

By Bharat Srikishan, Javier E. Santos, Nikhil Muralidhar, Charles D. Young
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 5

Learning Manifold and It\^o Dynamics with Branched Neural Rough Differential Equations

arXiv:2606. 05272v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Neural rough differential equations (NRDEs) stay accurate under irregular sampling while taking far fewer integration steps than standard neural differential equations, summarising a finely sampled driver by its log-signature and advancing the hidden state over coarse intervals using the log-ODE method.

By Luke Thompson, Dai Shi, Lequan Lin, Junbin Gao, Andi Han