arXiv Machine Learning

PDE-OBS: Controlled Evaluation Across Observation Patterns

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 7

Kastor: An efficient fine-tuning strategy for generative emulation of PDE simulations

arXiv:2608. 06107v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Machine learning offers a promising avenue to accelerate physical simulations by replacing computationally expensive traditional Partial Differential Equation (PDE) solvers with fast, differentiable surrogate models.

By Guillaume Couairon, Alexis Jacq, Yu-Han Wu, Renu Singh, Yana Hasson, Quentin Berthet, Romuald Elie
arXiv AI
Jun 26

Error-Conditioned Neural Solvers

arXiv:2606. 27354v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Neural surrogate models offer fast approximate mappings from PDE parameters to solutions, but they typically treat solving as a purely statistical task: once trained, they struggle to correct their own constraint violations and extrapolate beyond the training distribution.

By Haina Jiang, Liam Wang, Peng-Chen Chen, Min Seop Kwak, Seungryong Kim, Brian Bell, Jeong Joon Park
arXiv AI
Sep 4

RATL: Learning from Retrieved Residuals for Robust Multivariate Time-Series Forecasting

RATL is a plug‑in method for multivariate time‑series forecasting that uses a frozen base forecaster to build a memory of its historical forecast residuals. During inference, RATL retrieves residual trajectories from similar past contexts and employs a set‑aware router to combine them, providing learned feedback correction. Experiments demonstrate that this residual‑retrieval approach improves the performance of the base forecaster across various benchmarks and backbones.

By Yuchen He, Yueyang Cang, Zhiyuan Ning, Ningyu Wang, Li Shi
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 9

ForcingDAS: Unified and Robust Data Assimilation via Diffusion Forcing

arXiv:2605. 14285v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Data assimilation (DA) estimates the state of an evolving dynamical system from noisy, partial observations, and is widely used in scientific simulation as well as weather and climate science.

By Yixuan Jia, Siyi Chen, Yida Pan, Xiao Li, Lianghe Shi, Chanyong Jung, Haijie Yuan, Ismail Alkhouri, Yue Cynthia Wu, Saiprasad Ravishankar, Jeffrey A Fessler, Qing Qu
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 2

TRIE: An Evaluation Framework for Stochastic PDE Surrogates

arXiv:2607. 00196v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Many scientific systems exhibit uncertainty from stochastic forcing, unresolved degrees of freedom, or imperfect observations, making reliable surrogate forecasting fundamentally distributional rather than pointwise.

By Bharat Srikishan, Javier E. Santos, Nikhil Muralidhar, Charles D. Young
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 22

Monotone-Constrained Diffusion Models for Long-Horizon Production Forecasting

The paper introduces Physics‑SIMS‑TS, a conditional diffusion model designed for long‑horizon oil and gas production forecasting. It enforces monotone decline through negative guidance, decline‑curve constraints, and isotonic projection during sampling, and incorporates spatial training augmentation and an ensembled stochastic sampler to produce calibrated predictive distributions. Evaluated on over 35,000 wells across three jurisdictions, Physics‑SIMS‑TS achieves the highest accuracy among diffusion forecasters and matches transformer ensembles, with only a 0.5% increase in mean squared error for monotonicity.

By Temesgen Mikael Abraha, Yves Lucet