The article "Beyond Point Predictions: A Practical Introduction to Bayesian Neural Networks" discusses how Bayesian neural networks enable more informed decision-making by quantifying uncertainty in predictions. It introduces practical aspects of implementing these models and highlights their advantages over traditional point prediction approaches.
An intuitive introduction to reasoning with uncertainty, from directed Bayesian networks to undirected Markov networks and weighted logical rules. The post Bayesian Networks and Markov Networks: An Intuitive Guide to Structured Uncertainty appeared first on Towards Data Science .
AI systems should not automate a decision simply because they can provide a prediction. A decision system should consider how uncertain the prediction is and defer if a mistake would be costly.
In this work, we incorporate first principle physics into the construction of data-driven methods by considering a model that accounts for the different sources of energy losses during vehicle operations. Our results show that Bayesian linear regression based on this physics-aware model can improve the reliability of the expected energy consumption, as compared with standard linear regression.
arXiv:2607. 19054v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In this work, we incorporate first principle physics into the construction of data-driven methods by considering a model that accounts for the different sources of energy losses during vehicle operations.
arXiv:2503. 10496v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Modeling natural phenomena with artificial neural networks (ANNs) often provides highly accurate predictions.
arXiv:2505. 02743v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Real-world data contains aleatoric uncertainty - irreducible noise arising from imperfect measurements or from incomplete knowledge about the data generation process.
arXiv:2605. 00600v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Deep neural networks achieve impressive results across diverse applications, yet their overconfidence on unseen inputs necessitates reliable epistemic uncertainty modeling.
arXiv:2601. 07944v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Since the turn of the century, approximate Bayesian inference has steadily evolved as new computational techniques have been incorporated to handle increasingly complex, large-scale predictive problems.
arXiv:2607. 21702v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Simulation-based inference (SBI) with machine learning is an increasingly important tool for solving inverse problems in science and engineering, including parameter inference and the inversion of detector effects.
Researchers must often choose between Bayesian or neural network models of behavior, two paradigms with complementary strengths and weaknesses. An ideal paradigm would facilitate testing many kinds of...
arXiv:2509. 08846v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Evaluation of per-sample uncertainty quantification from neural networks is essential for decision-making involving high-risk applications.
arXiv:2606. 13818v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This thesis investigates how Bayesian principles can deepen our understanding of modern deep learning systems.