arXiv:2607. 15823v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study aggregation of statistical evidence under unknown and potentially complex dependence using group-invariance.
arXiv:2606. 03600v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Standard conformal prediction (CP) procedures are typically formulated in terms of p-values, but reliance on p-values alone limits flexibility, for example, when combining dependent evidence across models or data splits.
arXiv:2511. 04275v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Conformal prediction has emerged as a powerful framework for constructing distribution-free prediction sets with guaranteed coverage assuming only the exchangeability assumption.
arXiv:2608. 01460v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Conformal prediction (CP) is a distribution-free framework for uncertainty quantification that has recently been adapted to large language models (LLMs), providing prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees under exchangeability.
arXiv:2606. 09049v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We propose the data augmented bootstrap (DAB), a framework for constructing confidence intervals from approximately invariant transformations of the data.
We propose the data augmented bootstrap (DAB), a framework for constructing confidence intervals from approximately invariant transformations of the data. As special cases, DAB recovers popular methods that rely on exact group symmetries, such as conformal prediction, wild bootstrap for Maximum Mean Discrepancy U-statistics and the recently proposed SymmPI.
arXiv:2608. 06265v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Synthetic clinical benchmarks for enterprise AI agents can pass existing utility checks and still remain structurally unrealistic, especially in privacy-sensitive healthcare settings where operational data are hard to access.
arXiv:2606. 08736v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study a capability the dominant paradigm in synthetic tabular data does not provide: exact satisfaction of a declared analytical outcome with no source data.
arXiv:2602. 13848v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We propose a sequential test for detecting arbitrary distribution shifts that allows conformal test martingales (CTMs) to work under a fixed, reference-conditional setting.
arXiv:2602. 01733v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Conformal Prediction (CP) provides a statistical framework for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets with coverage guarantees.
arXiv:2608. 10372v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Post-hoc calibration aligns a classifier's predicted confidences with its empirical accuracy without retraining.
arXiv:2606. 08460v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Data-adaptive two-sample testing assesses if two samples come from the same distribution, using a discrepancy learned from the data (e.
arXiv:2608. 00701v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Reweighting source samples to match a target covariate distribution is a standard response to distribution shift when generalizing evidence from one population to another.