arXiv Machine Learning

Towards Out-of-Distribution Uncertainty Quantification for Machine-Learned Interatomic Potentials via Pre-Training

The paper proposes pre-training uncertainty estimators on large, diverse materials science datasets to improve uncertainty quantification (UQ) for machine‑learned interatomic potentials (MLIPs). By evaluating these pre‑trained models on both in‑distribution and out‑of‑domain adsorption‑energy predictions, the authors demonstrate that zero‑shot UQ is viable and that fine‑tuning yields strong correlations between predicted uncertainty and actual prediction error, even on challenging datasets. This approach aims to provide foundational UQ models that enable broader, more reliable deployment of MLIPs across chemical space.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 9

Inverse design of bespoke interatomic potentials via active learning by information-matching

arXiv:2606. 08148v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Interatomic potentials (IPs) enable large-scale atomistic simulations beyond the reach of first-principles methods, but their predictive reliability depends critically on the selection of training data, quantified uncertainty, and model expressiveness.

By Yonatan Kurniawan (Department of Physics and Astronomy, Brigham Young University, Provo, UT, USA), Logan D. Williams (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, USA), Amit Samanta (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, USA), Ilia Nikiforov (Department of Aerospace Engineering and Mechanics, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA), Daniel Schwalbe-Koda (Department of Materials Science and Engineering, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA), Mark K. Transtrum (Cross Stream Consulting, Springville, UT, USA), Ellad B. Tadmor (Department of Aerospace Engineering and Mechanics, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA), Vincenzo Lordi (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, USA), Vasily V. Bulatov (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, USA)
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 1

ElemeNet: Multiscale Molecular Machine Learning with Uncertainty Quantification Across the Periodic Table

arXiv:2606. 30961v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Advances in deep learning architectures and representations have enabled ML-driven chemical property prediction, but state-of-the-art (SOTA) models have remained largely confined to independent codebases and lack support for diverse chemical species.

By Jacob W. Toney, Samir Darouich, Yiran Wang, Aaron G. Garrison, Johannes K\"astner, Heather J. Kulik
arXiv AI
Oct 27

Multi-Fidelity Training Reshapes Uncertainty Decomposition in Atomistic Models

The study examines how multi‑fidelity training—using abundant low‑fidelity data and scarce high‑fidelity labels—affects uncertainty decomposition in atomistic models. By training deep ensembles of mean‑variance MACE models on ANI‑1x, the authors compare high‑fidelity training from scratch with low‑fidelity pretraining followed by fine‑tuning, evaluating aleatoric, epistemic, and total uncertainty under unseen molecular systems and higher‑energy configurations. Results show that pretraining lowers prediction error and improves uncertainty‑based ranking, but does not produce well‑calibrated predictive variances, especially under energy extrapolation, and that fine‑tuning yields a more effective uncertainty‑based acquisition function.

By Matteo Tolloso, Davide Bacciu, Luigi Bonati
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 11

Modelling magnetic material properties with uncertainty-aware neural networks

arXiv:2606. 11870v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Machine learning is increasingly applied to accelerate the discovery of novel materials by exploring large compositional and structural design spaces.

By Clemens Wager, Heisam Moustafa, Alexander Kovacs, Qais Ali, Harald Oezelt, Hayate Yamano, Masao Yano, Noritsugu Sakuma, Hyuga Hosoi, Akihito Kinoshita, Tetsuya Shoji, Akira Kato, Thomas Schrefl
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 23

Benchmarking Compositional Generalisation for Machine Learning Interatomic Potentials

The paper introduces a benchmark to evaluate compositional generalisation in machine learning interatomic potentials. It comprises four tasks that test models on unseen molecules, designed so that learning underlying chemical principles should enable generalisation. Experiments show that current state‑of‑the‑art models struggle, with out‑of‑distribution errors often an order of magnitude higher than in‑distribution errors, even for foundation models pre‑trained on millions of molecules.

By Amir Masoud Nourollah, Irtaza Khalid, Stefano Leoni, Steven Schockaert
arXiv AI
Sep 17

BOOM: Benchmarking Out-Of-distribution Molecular Property Predictions of Machine Learning Models

BOOM is a new benchmark for evaluating out‑of‑distribution (OOD) molecular property predictions in machine learning. It provides chemically‑informed tests across common property prediction tasks and assesses over 150 model‑task combinations. The study shows that current models, including chemical foundation models, struggle to generalize OOD, with the best model still exhibiting three times higher error than in‑distribution predictions.

By Evan R. Antoniuk, Shehtab Zaman, Tal Ben-Nun, Peggy Li, James Diffenderfer, Busra Sahin, Obadiah Smolenski, Everett Grethel, Tim Hsu, Anna M. Hiszpanski, Kenneth Chiu, Bhavya Kailkhura, Brian Van Essen
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 19

Evaluating Universal Machine Learning Force Fields Against Experimental Measurements

arXiv:2508. 05762v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Universal machine learning force fields (UMLFFs) promise to revolutionize materials science by enabling rapid atomistic simulations across the periodic table.

By Sajid Mannan, Vaibhav Bihani, Carmelo Gonzales, Kin Long Kelvin Lee, Nitya Nand Gosvami, Sayan Ranu, Santiago Miret, N M Anoop Krishnan