arXiv Machine Learning

Scaling Laws for Safety Probes

The paper introduces two scaling laws that predict the performance of safety probes—tools used to monitor language models for harmful behavior—based on model size and the number of labeled examples. By creating six large safety datasets and training probes across multiple model families, the authors show that probe error decreases as a power law with model size and further improves with more examples, with the improvement rate increasing for larger models. These laws enable researchers to forecast probe accuracy and decide whether to invest in more data or a larger model to achieve a desired error threshold.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 31

The Instability of Safety: How Random Seeds and Temperature Expose Inconsistent LLM Refusal Behavior

The paper challenges the assumption that large language models (LLMs) produce deterministic safety responses by examining how random seeds and temperature settings affect refusal decisions. Across four instruction‑tuned models and 876 harmful prompts, 18‑28% of prompts flipped between refusal and compliance depending on sampling configuration, with higher temperatures reducing decision stability. The authors introduce a Safety Stability Index (SSI) and recommend multi‑sample evaluation protocols that account for stochastic variation rather than relying on single‑shot tests.

By Erik Larsen
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 13

HyperSafe: Inference-Time Safety Recovery for Fine-Tuned Language Models

Safety alignment in large language models can be fragile under fine-tuning, as even benign task adaptation may increase harmful compliance. Existing defenses mainly follow two directions: they either intervene during or after fine-tuning through retraining or weight modification, which can be costly and may hurt task performance, or they use model-agnostic safety classifiers, which may miss failures specific to a given fine-tuned checkpoint.

arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 9

Coverage, Not Difficulty, Sets How Much Synthetic Data an Activation Probe Needs

The study investigates how many synthetic conversation samples are required to train activation probes that monitor language models for high‑stakes, harmful, and instruction‑following behaviors. By tracking learning curves across 10–590 samples on various probe models, generators, and prompts, the authors find that the number of samples needed is largely determined by coverage of the monitored concept rather than the difficulty of individual sample types. They show that high‑stakes and harmful probes reach near‑plateau performance with as few as 80 samples, while instruction probes require several times more, and that breadth of sample kinds is more critical for instruction monitoring than for high‑stakes scenarios. The paper also releases evaluation suites, dev sets, and generated data for further research.

By Ankush Checkervarty
arXiv AI
Oct 9

Beyond Fixed Benchmarks and Worst-Case Attacks: Dynamic Boundary Evaluation for Language Models

The paper introduces Dynamic Boundary Evaluation (DBE), a method that moves beyond static benchmarks by locating the per‑prompt pass probability near 0.5 for large language models. DBE provides a calibrated item bank with difficulty labels, a Skill‑Guided Boundary Search algorithm that works with API‑level access, and an adaptive evaluation protocol that places new models on a unified ability scale. The approach is applied to safety, capability, and truthfulness tasks, expanding coverage without saturation and remaining compatible with existing datasets.

By Haoxiang Wang, Da Yu, Huishuai Zhang
arXiv AI
Sep 2

Calibration is the Bottleneck: An Action-Class Diagnostic of Multi-Turn Tool-Calling

The paper introduces an action‑class diagnostic framework for multi‑turn tool‑calling in large language model agents, breaking failures into action‑class miscalibration and action‑execution failure across a four‑class action space (TOOL_CALL, ASK, REFUSE, CONFIRM). It defines a self‑revealing upper bound (Acc GAR) to expose state‑grader masking of miscalibration and shows that miscalibration is a significant, previously hidden failure mode, especially for heavily tool‑trained families. The study demonstrates that calibration can be reshaped by context‑only perturbations, but the effects vary widely across models and perturbation mechanisms, underscoring the need for diagnostics beyond aggregate accuracy.

By Kangjia Zhao, Jiajun Li, Haozhan Shen, Wei Chow, Linfeng Li, Hang Song, Lingdong Kong, Chen Zhi, Tiancheng Zhao, Songhua Liu, Jianwei Yin