arXiv Machine Learning

The Instability of Safety: How Random Seeds and Temperature Expose Inconsistent LLM Refusal Behavior

The paper challenges the assumption that large language models (LLMs) produce deterministic safety responses by examining how random seeds and temperature settings affect refusal decisions. Across four instruction‑tuned models and 876 harmful prompts, 18‑28% of prompts flipped between refusal and compliance depending on sampling configuration, with higher temperatures reducing decision stability. The authors introduce a Safety Stability Index (SSI) and recommend multi‑sample evaluation protocols that account for stochastic variation rather than relying on single‑shot tests.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 28

The Joint Effect of Quantization and Sampling Temperature on LLM Safety Alignment: A Factorial Analysis

Modern LLM deployments routinely compress models and raise sampling temperature to reduce cost, latency, or repetition, yet safety evaluations usually treat these choices as fixed implementation details. This leaves a practical uncertainty: does a model that is safe at FP16 and greedy decoding remain safe after it is quantized and sampled stochastically, or do the two deployment knobs amplify one another?

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 17

Safety-Flag: A Unified Benchmark for the Reliability and Calibration of LLM Content Moderators

Safety-Flag is a unified benchmark that consolidates seven popular safety datasets into a single balanced flag/do‑not‑flag protocol, providing item‑level decisions and confidence scores for multiple large language models and dedicated guards. The benchmark evaluates moderator reliability across three dimensions—error direction, probability calibration, and confidence‑based error ranking—revealing that aggregate accuracy masks significant differences, such as one model flagging 85% of benign content while another misses 54% of harmful content. The study shows that general‑purpose models are overconfident, but temperature tuning can substantially improve calibration, and confidence‑based abstention can reduce selective risk, though performance varies with how well confidence ranks errors.

By Yibo Hu
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 17

No Usable Linear "Capitulation Direction" in Two Small LLMs: A Validation Protocol for Activation-Steering Claims, and a Cross-Family Behavioral Study of Sycophancy Under Pushback

The study examines how two small instruction‑tuned language models, Qwen2.5‑1.5B and Llama‑3.2‑1B, respond to user pushback on TriviaQA. When initially correct, the models flip to a wrong answer in about 42–43% of cases, with the effectiveness of different pushback styles varying by model. Attempts to decode capitulation from the pre‑response residual stream fail under a rigorous validation protocol, revealing overfitting and a measurement hazard that underestimates capitulation by 18–24 percentage points.

By Saad Aamir, Muhammad Awais Bin Adil
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 23

Scaling Laws for Safety Probes

The paper introduces two scaling laws that predict the performance of safety probes—tools used to monitor language models for harmful behavior—based on model size and the number of labeled examples. By creating six large safety datasets and training probes across multiple model families, the authors show that probe error decreases as a power law with model size and further improves with more examples, with the improvement rate increasing for larger models. These laws enable researchers to forecast probe accuracy and decide whether to invest in more data or a larger model to achieve a desired error threshold.

By Yuchen Wu (University of Washington), Jerry Wei (Anthropic)
arXiv AI
Jul 3

Robust for the Wrong Reasons: The Representational Geometry of LLM Robustness to Science Skepticism

arXiv:2607. 01951v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly consulted on contested scientific questions, raising the concern that they will sycophantically retreat from established consensus when a user signals doubt -- drifting toward a false balance that treats settled science as one view among several.

By Minjong Cheon